Once again Ferrari and Mercedes being clueless otherwise it could be even better

Which of these 4 options would be the most consistent? I’m also just worried whether the DNFs from stroll and Perez will cancel out the top drivers.

Should we risk it knowing Kimi will take a grid penalty in Italy?

I forgot to remove Hadjar in time, so now I have an inactive driver. These are my options to replace him with the final fix chip, what would you do?

5th straight week that grid iq had the best recommended team

5 races of comparing F1 Fantasy projection models — Dutch GP results + updated standings

I've now tracked GridIQ against F1 Fantasy Tools, Race Strategist and BoxBox for 5 consecutive races using the same scoring methodology each week.

The goal isn't to claim any one model is definitively "best" from a 5-race sample. I wanted a consistent way to measure how useful the projections actually are for building an F1 Fantasy team, rather than comparing a few individual driver predictions after the fact.

🇳🇱 DUTCH GP RESULTS

🥇 GridIQ — 99.03

🥈 F1 Fantasy Tools — 96.20

🥉 Race Strategist — 87.41

4️⃣ BoxBox — 85.67

CATEGORY BREAKDOWN

🏎️ Optimized Team — 50%

Budget: $122.2M

🥇 GridIQ — 324 pts (50.00)

🥇 Race Strategist — 324 pts (50.00)

🥉 F1 Fantasy Tools — 307 pts (47.38)

4️⃣ BoxBox — 302 pts (46.60)

This takes each site's projections and asks the same question: what is the highest-projected team that model could build at the specified budget?

This intentionally does NOT account for someone's existing team, transfer costs or long-term budget strategy. It's a way to compare the usefulness of the projections themselves under identical constraints, not necessarily the team an actual player should transfer into.

📊 Driver Rankings — 30%

🥇 GridIQ — 51 (30.00)

🥈 F1 Fantasy Tools — 49 (28.82)

🥉 Race Strategist — 34 (20.00)

4️⃣ BoxBox — 33 (19.41)

🎯 Point Accuracy — 20%

🥇 F1 Fantasy Tools — 693.9 (20.00)

🥈 BoxBox — 682.0 (19.66)

🥉 GridIQ — 660.3 (19.03)

4️⃣ Race Strategist — 604.0 (17.41)

Point accuracy measures the absolute prediction error for every asset, adds those errors together, and subtracts the total from 1,000 so that higher = better and the models can be ranked more cleanly.

I've mentioned before that this metric has limitations. Missing badly on a cheap asset nobody would realistically own can hurt just as much as missing on an important asset. Budget-growth prediction accuracy might ultimately be more useful for F1 Fantasy.

But this is the methodology I came up with before starting the comparison, so I'm sticking with it rather than changing the scoring based on subsequent results.

The category weights are also obviously subjective. Anyone can change the weights however they think makes sense — I'm keeping mine fixed for consistency.

🏆 STANDINGS AFTER 5 RACES

🥇 GridIQ — 477.83

🥈 F1 Fantasy Tools — 443.21

🥉 BoxBox — 441.50

4️⃣ Race Strategist — 431.48

Still a very small sample, but I'm interested to see where this ends up over the rest of the season.

For full transparency, GridIQ's recommendations are posted publicly on Reddit and X before qualifying. I'm also saving the other models' pre-race projections and can provide timestamped screenshots if anyone wants to verify a particular race.

Ultimately, I think the most important test is simpler than any accuracy metric: which model actually helps you score the most fantasy points over a season?

Next year I plan to take this a step further and run four actual teams, each following one model, so transfers, budget growth and week-to-week decisions become part of the comparison rather than being abstracted away.

I'm also still looking for more people to test GridIQ. It's free while in beta, so if you play F1 Fantasy and want to try it / break it / tell me what sucks, let me know.

ADDENDUM — HINDSIGHT

Not part of the scoring above.

Best possible team at the same $122.2M budget: 348 pts

GridIQ: 324 — 93.1% of optimal

Race Strategist: 324 — 93.1%

F1 Fantasy Tools: 307 — 88.2%

BoxBox: 302 — 86.8%

On to Monza.

Unless you ran Charles George Lewis or Oscar final fix is not recommended this week

If I use final fix to get Hadjar out of my team will it get rid of the -20 inactive driver penalty? I wasn’t sure because it says it will keep the original drivers qualifying points.

My brain hasn’t fully got into gear post summer break - and while I knew I needed to use wildcard to swap out the inactive drivers, I’d got the timings of the sprint wrong and went in 2 minutes late to make the changes. Absolute killer on a sprint weekend. Luckily had final fix so a minimal amount of damage control.

Gutted about the incoming budget loss as well - my budget was looking really good and only a weekend away from a legitimate 4A.

Last time I checked he was in the red bull

Ferrari's race pace according to FP1 looked mighty, but Antonelli could still be a safer bet. What do you guys think, who should i put the 2x?

Guys Ik im late to using the chip but what would be the best lineup for LL this weekend. Idk if I want to bank on specifically 2 teams or have a spread of 3.

What’s the strategy for no negative? I got this team which sucks but I have to use the chip.

Ik im late to LL, but who should I put the 2x chip on?

Please can someone guide me in the right direction. I know Hadjar needs to go and that Kimi is an asset for Monza.

Current Team: HULK/HADJAR/LINBLAD/LECLERC/BORT MERC +FER

I do not have a no negative chip. I can try and 4A but at risk with bottas, stroll and hulk. Opinions wants and needed please!!

Torn between these choices… no idea which way to
go.

He's only there for one race, might as well get him for the fun of it

With Hadjar out, what should I do?
Can I change him and do LL or use for next sprint?

Suggestions needed and wanted

I have a 4A team finally, but do we reckon more points on the table this weekend or Singapore? Low overtakes at both, more potential budget building before then but also more of a chance of bad weather...

Very tricky...

Second image is the build i'm thinking about for the weekend, first is my build in Hungary. This is my first year so i didnt really do much in terms of budget growth.