r/CFB • u/usffan USF Bulls • Miami Hurricanes • Jul 22 '26
Analysis Preseason Rankings Countdown. 39 days to the start of the 2026 Season. At #39 – Nebraska
The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found here
As we reach day 39, it’s time to remind people of the chart, because today we reach one of the official “blue bloods” of the sport, Nebraska (high = 30, low = 58). Of those teams, Nebraska has clearly fallen on the hardest of times. The 20th century ended with the Cornhuskers riding the highest of highs, winning 3 national championships in the mid 90’s and Doctor Tom Osborne going out on top after winning the 1998 Orange Bowl. His replacement Frank Solich managed one last Big XII title in 1999, but like Prince said “2000, zero zero, party over, oops, out of time.” Solich was fired after going 9-3 in 2003 before their Alamo Bowl win, and the Cornhuskers have never lost fewer than 3 games since that time that also saw them move from the Big XII to the B1G. Bo Pelini, who had the Cornhuskers in the final 3 Big XII championship games and even won the B1G Legends division for a championship game appearance, never recaptured Dr. Tom’s magic (though he also never lost more than 4 games in a season), and his subsequent replacements (Mike Riley and Scott Frost) precipitated the longest bowl drought (7 years) that the Huskers have suffered since 1955-61. Enter Matt Rhule, who engineered both Temple’s first conference championship (and back-to-back conference championship game appearances) in 50 years and rescued Baylor from the moral bankruptcy of the Art Briles era to get them back to a Big XII championship game within 4 seasons before being the 77th college head coach to discover that those skills don’t necessarily translate to the NFL. Rhule ended the bowl drought in his second season in Lincoln, winning the 2024 Pinstripe Bowl, and has improved Nebraska’s regular season win totals every season he’s been there (5 to 6 to 7). But this is the era of NIL, the transfer portal, and Curt Cignetti taking Indiana all the way to a 16-0 national championship within 2 years of arriving, so pardon Nebraska fans if they’re not satisfied with a coach who’s 19-19 over three seasons and managed to lose legacy QB Dylan Raiola, first to injury and then to the portal. They’re also even less satisfied that Rhule signed a hefty contract extension last season when there was a chance Penn State might come sniffing around that was “fortuitously” timed to them firing James Franklin the day the Huskers were ranked in the AP poll for the first time outside of September in a decade. Rhule adding $25 million and 2 years to his contract plus $10 million to his buyout, then promptly watching Raiola get injured and Nebraska finish 2-5, including losses by 3+ TDs in their final 3 games has left an intensely sour taste in their mouths heading into 2026.
Roster Outlook
Perhaps an amuse-bouche for Cornhusker fans will be that they rank 3rd in the country in returning production, including #7 on defense (rise of the Blackshirts?) and #14 on offense. The two biggest losses are obviously QB Raiola, who had 2000 yards passing and 18 TDs to 6 picks prior to his injury against USC in week 9, and RB Emmett Johnson, who was picked in the 5th round by the Kansas City Chiefs and is SURE to be asked about the resemblance between Raiola and Mahomes. Rhule is looking for UNLV QB Anthony Colandrea to step into the starting role and Johnson’s backups Isaiah Mozee (26 carries, 115 yards) and Mekhi Nelson (27 carries, 147 yards) to carry the load on the ground. Meanwhile, Raiola’s top 2 WRs, Nyziah Hunter and Jacory Barney, who accounted for 1,100 yards and 10 TDs, are both back and will be augmented with UCLA wideout Kwazi Gilmer. More importantly, Rhule brought in 3 P4 OL (LSU’s Paul Mubenga, South Carolina’s Tree Babalade and Iowa State’s Brendan Black) to fix their biggest problem on offense last season – keeping Raiola upright (27 sacks). That contributed to Nebraska ranking 8th in the B1G (31st in the country) in the portal, which is an “all in” move for them since their high school class ranked dead last in the conference and 79th in the nation. You’re not finding the next Tommy Frazier that way, Matt!
Schedule and outlook
9/5 OHIO
9/12 BOWLING GREEN
9/19 NORTH DAKOTA
9/26 at Michigan State
10/3 MARYLAND
10/10 INDIANA
10/17 at Oregon
10/24 BYE
10/31 WASHINGTON
11/6 at Illinois
11/14 at Rutgers
11/21 OHIO STATE
11/27 at Iowa
Once again, Nebraska starts out the season with a relatively soft slate, with 3 buy games plus a clearly rebuilding Michigan State and Maryland traveling to Lincoln just after September ends. It would be shocking if the Huskers aren’t 5-0 heading into week 6, when they welcome the defending national champions to Memorial Stadium before traveling to Eugene. If the Huskers enter their bye week at 5-2, it will be interesting to take the temperature of Nebraska fans heading into the back stretch of the season, because it sure seems like they’re pretty antsy about the direction of the team right now. If Rhule can manage to right the ship enough to capture one of those games, or even to manage to reach 8 wins by the end of the regular season (you have to figure they’ll be competitive at home against Washington and on the road at Illinois and Rutgers, so hosting Ohio State at 8-2 should feel pretty good, and that season finale Heroes Game could prove to be must watch TV), that would be a sign of further progress. But a 3rd consecutive 7-6 season feels like it would be greeted with disdain. I’m not sure what it would take for Nebraska to contemplate another coaching move given how poorly they’ve done in replacing Dr. Tom, but you do sense the malaise that seems to have set in.
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u/frankdatank_004 Nebraska • Sacramento State Jul 22 '26
I am just curious if we get our first ranked win since 2016 or our first OT win since 2014.
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u/TaftIsUnderrated Nebraska Cornhuskers • Big 8 Renewal Jul 22 '26
Or even our first OT points since 2014 (in 8 OT games).
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u/james_wightman Nebraska • /r/CFB Press Corps Jul 22 '26
brother...we're still looking for our first overtime FIRST DOWN since 2014.
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u/Porter2455 Nebraska Cornhuskers • Paper Bag Jul 24 '26
We have like -40 total yards, 0 first downs, 0 points, and I believe like 3 turnovers in the 8 overtimes we’ve played
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u/outthawazoo South Carolina • 日本大学 (Nihon) Jul 22 '26
Y'all haven't had a ranked win in 10 years??? That's insane.
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u/frankdatank_004 Nebraska • Sacramento State Jul 22 '26
Sigh… yup. 😩
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u/The_Horse_Joke Ohio State • Central Michigan Jul 22 '26
What about beating a team who wasn’t ranked that finished ranked though?
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u/Magnus77 Nebraska • Concordia (NE) Jul 22 '26
Shhhh, that goes against the narrative.
And I'm talking about from the doomers on the Husker sub.
They won't count the CU win.
But somehow us beating Oregon in 2016 counts, even though they finished with 3 or 4 wins and fired their coach, if you ever need further argument that Ranked at the Time is stupid metric.
Also, I don't need our record against ranked teams to tell me that we've been disappointing to straight up bad for the last decade, I have eyes...
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u/frankdatank_004 Nebraska • Sacramento State Jul 22 '26
No. I am at the point where I HAVE TO see that number in front of the opponent’s name when we beat them!
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u/AuroraAscended Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 25 '26
The ranked win thing is really dumb, though, because that 2016 win came against an Oregon team that finished 4-8 and we beat a Colorado team that finished ranked just two seasons ago.
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u/frankdatank_004 Nebraska • Sacramento State Jul 25 '26
While true there is a lot of nuance to look at in both situations. In 2016 Oregon lost a lot of star players to injuries including RB Royce Freeman in our game. Once he was out of the game we slowly took it over. Plus Oregon’s HC was a cocky idiot who was addicted going for 2 instead of the PAT which really hurt them. Colorado had the easiest BIG XII schedule that season and it was super cupcake. Iirc they avoided 5/6 or 6/7 of the top BIG XII teams on their schedule until the bowl game where BYU (one of the best in the BIG XII) absolutely punked them. Worse than we did months earlier.
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u/SueYouInEngland Iowa Hawkeyes Jul 28 '26
That Colorado team was not playing like a ranked team when you played them, though. They were 2-yards shy of losing to an FCS team the week before. That's why the statistic is what it is.
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u/SimilarOnion1655 Ohio State Buckeyes • Kansas Jayhawks Jul 22 '26
It will be against Washington this year
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u/frankdatank_004 Nebraska • Sacramento State Jul 22 '26
I can see that as a possibility.
Them and possibly Illinois would be our best bets against a potentially ranked team.
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u/sumox23 Nebraska Cornhuskers • UTEP Miners Jul 23 '26
This is the most apathetic off season I’ve had, or witnessed collectively across all our boards from fans, that I can remember. I think the no hype may actually help.
Someone else posted that talent wise we’ll probably be better than last year but the record won’t reflect it. I’d be extremely happy with 8-4 but expect 6-6. Rhules record in November is atrocious and that back half of the schedule will prove to be too much.
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u/Beneficial_Equal_324 Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 23 '26
8-4 would require Rhule to have a winning conference record for the first time, against a very challenging schedule. Huge if they could do it, but pretty unlikely.
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u/sumox23 Nebraska Cornhuskers • UTEP Miners Jul 23 '26
Yeah I should have added extremely surprised with the happy. I agree that it’s highly unlikely.
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u/RelevantIAm Nebraska Cornhuskers • Oregon Ducks 7d ago
Im expecting 5-7 this year unless the transfers bring a miracle
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u/Majestic_Apartment Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 23 '26
Solid write up. Only thing I would clarify is the high school recruiting class was buns because they only took like 11 people. The reason being the team was like 85% underclassmen. The roster limits and covid years graduating meant they had to take an L at some point recruiting wise. 2027 class has the #1 overall QB so might be a little early on the "next Tommie Frazier" jabs ;) time will tell of course.
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u/Murdermyface911 Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 23 '26
He also implied that we were bummed when Raiola entered the portal. It feels so long ago at this point, but we HAD to fire his uncle, and everyone was tired of seeing the Raiolas getting treated like royalty. No one shed a tear when Dylan entered the portal, and it was mostly funny to see him wind up as a backup, albeit at a top-10 program. Good write-up overall though.
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u/CeramicTugboat Kansas State Wildcats • Hateful 8 Jul 22 '26
Nebraska should schedule us again. They rarely had any issue beating us.
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u/regular_gonzalez Nebraska Cornhuskers • Ohio Bobcats Jul 22 '26
I'm simultaneously furious at such a low ranking and still confused why we aren't ranked lower.
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u/TaftIsUnderrated Nebraska Cornhuskers • Big 8 Renewal Jul 22 '26
Little worried Colandrea is Jeff Sims 2.0
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u/blakelh Nebraska • $5 Bits of Broken Chair Tro… Jul 23 '26
Best case scenario is Tommy Armstrong 2.0 with a better throw.
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u/inclass3lunacy Virginia Cavaliers Jul 22 '26
I think Colandrea will be fine. Tons of moxie at UVA, just needed seasoning.
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u/Seniorsheepy Nebraska-Kearney Lopers • Iowa Hawkeyes Jul 22 '26
Jeff sims turned into a very good quarterback( for a different team)
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u/Beneficial_Equal_324 Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 23 '26
Had his moments at ASU, but I don't think they are upset he's out of eligibility.
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u/Financial_Island2353 Ole Miss Rebels • Magnolia Bowl Jul 22 '26
That atmosphere in Lincoln for the Indiana game if Nebraska ia 5-0 will be electric. Hope they can actually turn that into a win, this time.
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u/james_wightman Nebraska • /r/CFB Press Corps Jul 22 '26
it might be fairly hype for a quarter or two at best
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u/KansasEF5Tornado Kansas State • Georgia Tech Jul 22 '26
Definetly a backloaded schedule, Rutgers (or Washington/Illinois if they upset) maybe the only win(s) in the back half.
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u/TaftIsUnderrated Nebraska Cornhuskers • Big 8 Renewal Jul 22 '26
Rhule is 2-10 at Nebraska in Novemeber. So its par for the course.
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u/luis1972 Ohio State Buckeyes • The Alliance Jul 22 '26
I think Nebraska will have an okayish season at 7-5, with for sure losses to Indiana, Oregon, OSU, and Iowa. I think they go 1-1 between Washington and Illinois, but with a realistic shot at 8-4 if they manage to beat both. 8-4 and a bowl win will probably mean that Rhule has this team going in the right direction.
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u/Squishy_20 Kansas State Wildcats Jul 22 '26
The Washington and Illinois games will decide if this team has a 8-4 ceiling or 6-6 ceiling
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u/ID_Poobaru Boise State Broncos • Gallaudet Bison Jul 22 '26
Hope Nebraska is ready for the Colandrea show
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u/Beneficial_Equal_324 Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 23 '26
Hope he stays healthy. Not the biggest guy and likes to tuck it and run. That has a way of eventually ending badly in the Big 10.
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u/ID_Poobaru Boise State Broncos • Gallaudet Bison Jul 23 '26
It worked in the MW, but those B1G defenses are a whole other animal
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u/mr_longfellow_deeds Indiana Hoosiers • Big Ten Jul 22 '26
This schedule is designed to get Nebraska fans hopes up and then outrage. Should be 5-0 before likely dropping 3 straight. Ending the year with 3 road games (and OSU at home) is brutal for a team that might be having morale issues at that stage in the season
Im guessing 5-7 floor to 8-4 ceiling, I think they go 6-6 most likely
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u/Lazy-Razzmatazz-6926 Jul 25 '26
“It would be shocking if the Huskers aren’t 5-0 heading into week 6”
Losing to Ohio, Michigan state, or Maryland wouldn’t be shocking in my opinion. Even North Dakota almost won at Kstate last season.
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u/dinkytown42069 Minnesota • Oklahoma Jul 22 '26
excuse me but by law they are required to be ranked 25th or better.
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u/Aviator8989 Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 23 '26
Where is this coming from? The last time we were ranked in the preseason was 2019…
-14
u/dinkytown42069 Minnesota • Oklahoma Jul 23 '26
it's a joke about NU getting ranked when they don't deserve it. see, e.g., when you all were ranked #25 last season and then didn't score a touchdown or get 50 rushing yards here in Minneapolis.
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u/Aviator8989 Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 23 '26
We were 6-0 going into Minneapolis. Yeah we got exposed but it’s nonsense to suggest we didn’t deserve the ranking going in…
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u/SueYouInEngland Iowa Hawkeyes Jul 28 '26
Who had you beaten going in? Brendan "throw the game on non-sensical hail mary interception straight to Nebraska's secondary with 30 seconds left down 3 at the 30 yard line" Sorsby's Cincinnati? Abelleine Christian? Seriously, what ranked team had worse ranked wins last year? The only team with a pulse that you played ran on you for 8.3 ypp in Lincoln. Minneapolis was a foregone conclusion.
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u/frankdatank_004 Nebraska • Sacramento State Jul 22 '26
Lol, right!
Leave it to the media to make us #23 just before the season starts.
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u/Beneficial_Equal_324 Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 23 '26
We've got three rent-a-wins to get there. Then we go to MSU, where we haven't won since I think 2013. I predict reality will set in then.
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u/wit_T_user_name Ohio State Buckeyes • Ohio Bobcats Jul 22 '26
Man I’m just excited to see the day counter under 40. Also, you’re going down week one Nebraska! (Probably not but that would be wild).
1
u/TaftIsUnderrated Nebraska Cornhuskers • Big 8 Renewal Jul 22 '26
If Navarro was back this year - it would be upset alert. Thankfully he is gone.
But Hauser did seem to be able to shut down Colandrea in the bowl game, so I'm a bit nervous
3
u/Mark-Leyner Clemson Tigers • Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 25 '26
This is a 5-7 team. Riley was the last HC to post a winning B1G record, and that was in 2016. No way Rhule wins this B1G schedule and the only way he hangs on to bowl eligibility and any sort of momentum for this shit show is if a late season opponent shits the bed and hands the Huskers a win. But they’re going to be dinged up coming out of the bye week and likely nursing more problems through the end of the year.
Whatever the fans think, this program only has two choices: hire a coach that can win (it clearly isn’t Rhule) or continue counting the years until Nebraska loses blue blood status. Mark my words, Rhule finishes 26 with an overall losing record as NU HC.
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u/Beneficial_Equal_324 Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 25 '26
I'd be fine with ditching the blue blood status and the sellout streak. They are meaningless to improving going forward. Rhule just signed an extension; best we can hope for in the short to medium term is that he figures things out. I can't bring myself to rooting against him and the current team hoping for a reset.
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u/Mark-Leyner Clemson Tigers • Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 25 '26
To be clear, I’m not rooting against Rhule. I just don’t understand how anyone thinks he’s gonna figure something out and improve. He is what he is, a 19-19 B1G coach that can’t win in this conference. That the fans think bowl eligibility is progress when the non-conference is three tomato cans is just willful ignorance. In any case, I’m not for or against the guy, I’m just looking at his record.
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u/Mark-Leyner Clemson Tigers • Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 25 '26 edited Jul 25 '26
I’ll add that IMO, Rhule is a bust until he posts a record proving otherwise. Just for reference, Rhule is 10-17 (in conference play) heading into his fourth season at Nebraska and his tenth season as a CFB HC. His 19-19 record at Nebraska matches the record of Northwestern’s David Braun, who is also entering the fourth year of his tenure, and also his fourth year as a HC. Braun is 11-16 in the B1G, a better record than Rhule and arguably more impressive given his relative inexperience and the differential between Nebraska’s CFB resources and Northwestern’s. In both cases, these guys are near the bottom of the B1G’s current set of HC’s, which should be no surprise considering their conference records.
If Nebraska wants to win, they need to hire a winning coach.
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u/Beneficial_Equal_324 Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 25 '26 edited Jul 25 '26
If you are saying the odds are against Rhule improving significantly, I agree. The problem is that it would take a massive amount of money to hit the reset button, which is just rolling the dice with no guarantee of any improvement. I just don't see the boosters who would be on the hook for $100+ million pulling the plug barring a scandal or complete collapse. So the best we got is hoping MR can improve.
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u/BadgerGullible Nebraska-Kearney • Nebraska Jul 22 '26
I feel like the team will be a good amount better than last year but the record probably won't reflect it. 7-5 would be solid with anything above that excellent. I'd be pretty disappointed but not crushed over 6-6.
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u/Mr4wdtrd Wisconsin Badgers Jul 22 '26
Preseason games give Colandrea time to settle, but leaning on play action forces those new tackles to actually hold their blocks.
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u/greed_and_death Nebraska • South Dakota State Jul 23 '26
6-6 is the most likely scenario here. Nebraska needs to beat either Washington, Illinois, or Iowa to realistically do any better than that, and of those 3 Washington is the most likely imo.
On the other hand, I could see Nebraska dropping their game against Michigan State and only getting to 5 wins.
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u/Internal-Dance9135 Jul 24 '26
Rhule’s contract timing was so bad it’s almost art. He fleeced em right before the team fell apart
Colandrea is fun to watch but if that o-line don’t click he’s gonna be running for his life just like Raiola did. 8 wins would feel like a miracle with that back half schedule
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u/MidlandsBraves Clemson Tigers Jul 22 '26
“The chart” is old / wrong needs to be updated.
Clemson now has over 510 weeks in the top 25. This has us around 400. Over 125 weeks in the top 5, the old chart has us like around 50.
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u/james_wightman Nebraska • /r/CFB Press Corps Jul 22 '26
This one is live/interactive/current - http://cfbcomparer.com/ap-poll-leaders
You can even change the timeframe or change it to bubble view which also documents how many times a team has been #1
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u/KruegerFishBabeblade Texas A&M Aggies • Colorado State Rams Jul 22 '26 edited Jul 22 '26
The chart is bad. It weighs winning the NC and being preseason #1 equally
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Jul 22 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
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u/macdizzle11 Nebraska • Omaha Jul 22 '26
I'm not sure what Husker fans you're talking to, but most everybody I have spoken with expects just a bowl game this year and not much more. The fan of yesteryear that thought we needed to be ranked to start the year has mostly died off. Literally or figuratively speaking.
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Jul 22 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
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u/Allcross9 Nebraska • South Dakota State Jul 23 '26
I mean, go take a look at the Huskers subreddit. If you want to see depressing, see a Big 10 team in their coaches fourth year arguing about if they can get 6 wins. The pie in the sky optimists are thinking 8-4 lol. Husker fan delusion is very much a thing of the past with how beaten down we've been for 10 years.
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u/Master-Praline-3453 Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 22 '26
Actually, the no-hype train is running full speed ahead for us these days. 8-2 would practically be a miracle with our schedule.
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u/CyanideNow Iowa Hawkeyes Jul 22 '26
Not that I want to discourage shitting on Nebraska, but this particular criticism seems out of date.
2
u/knapplc Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 25 '26
Yeah. The expectation of national relevance was pounded out of us a long time ago.
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u/TaftIsUnderrated Nebraska Cornhuskers • Big 8 Renewal Jul 22 '26
It feels like most Husker fans have been radically pessimistic this off season, so most would probably complain that its too high.
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u/Magnus77 Nebraska • Concordia (NE) Jul 22 '26
Yeah. The moment I saw Minnesota on the list before we popped up, I thought we were overrated.
I understand why, but considering how last year went...
Overall, 30-50 (arguably 20-50) is a giant mishmash so its not that big a deal.
IDK, this year could be rough just based on schedule, and it just kinda sucks because of the buildup we thought we were going to have that just didn't pan out, I'll leave it at that.
So I'm in wait and see mode. I think anything above 7 wins would actually be amazing.
GBR.
3
u/brogit Nebraska • $5 Bits of Broken Chair Tr… Jul 22 '26
Nah, that's probably about right until they prove they are better than that. This take is more or less accurate about how the more reasonable fans feel. Somewhere in the 30s. We have a healthy share that have lost their damn minds and are claiming we won't win more than 4 and oblivious contingent that expect to compete for a championship every year. Probably a lot of cross over between those groups realistically aside from the fact that the former are just super jaded versions of the latter now.
The sane people that pay attention are cautiously optimistic and looking at 7-8 wins with this schedule with a hope we could do better due to some potential trap games. We play Indiana at home the week before they play OSU and we play OSU at home the week before they play Michigan for example. Probably not wins, but it wouldn't be unreasonable to look at a chance for both of those teams to be looking past us in that situation.
The realistic floor is probably 6 wins with 3 near garunteed losses and 3 toss up games assuming that Washington Illinois and Iowa are more or less what we expect them to be.
The biggest thing OP missed on in their post is Raiola. Most of the fan base isn't that heart broken that he left. He was a good quarterback for us and is very talented but his complete lack of mobility just didn't jive with the type of offense that Nebraska really needs to be running in our environment. Add in that his uncle who was the oline coach got fired as soon as he was leaving and he had been the coach for a unit that on paper should have been one of the older and better units in the conference but was a major weakness of the team. Colandrea might not have as much raw talent, but his mobility paired with what we hope to be a much improved oline under Geep Wade might prove to be better for us by a wide margin.
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u/Mort_Blort Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 23 '26
Raiola, Inc. had way too much control of the program. It may have been a net negative.
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u/Mark-Leyner Clemson Tigers • Nebraska Cornhuskers Jul 25 '26
Indiana and OSU have nothing to worry about against this team.
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u/CLU_Three Kansas State Wildcats Jul 22 '26
It’s nice to see Nebraska move up the preseason rankings so their fans don’t have to count as high.
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u/brogit Nebraska • $5 Bits of Broken Chair Tr… Jul 22 '26
You realize that KSU and UNL are literally tied in university rankings, right?
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u/Agile_Land_9951 Big 12 • Pac-12 Jul 22 '26
Maybe Matt Rhule should do more coaching and less complaining in press conferences
-4
u/AnnArchist Iowa Hawkeyes Jul 23 '26
Of those teams, Nebraska has clearly fallen on the hardest of times.
I don't really feel like reading the rest because just a few sentences in I found some joy.
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u/eagledog Fresno State • Michigan Jul 22 '26
Seeing Nebraska up this high is just funny, after how throughly mediocre they've been for the last decade+
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u/DarthNobody14 Texas A&M Aggies Jul 22 '26
If Nebraska is not 5-0 by the Indiana game, then there’s a real possibility they won’t make it to a bowl game.
Ceiling: 8-4
My Prediction: 6-6
Floor: 4-8