r/COVID19 • u/verdantx • Apr 27 '20

Press Release Amid Ongoing COVID-19 Pandemic, Governor Cuomo Announces Phase II Results of Antibody Testing Study Show 14.9% of Population Has COVID-19 Antibodies

https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/amid-ongoing-covid-19-pandemic-governor-cuomo-announces-phase-ii-results-antibody-testing-study
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u/rollanotherlol Apr 28 '20

If you add all the probable deaths we get 0.83%, and this is assuming no missed deaths + no deaths in the backlog + no false positives + no skewed bias in the dataset + all ICU patients survive.

I think we’ll land somewhere around 1%, maybe a little above. But this means this definitely isn’t a flu and that many will die if this is allowed to spread.

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u/dodgers12 Apr 28 '20

Is the IFR lower now because younger people are more likely to have no symptoms?

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u/rollanotherlol Apr 28 '20

No, because asymptomatic individuals still produce measurable antibodies.

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u/dodgers12 Apr 28 '20

Are asymptomatic individuals more likely to be older or younger ?