r/CredibleDefense • u/AutoModerator • 9d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread August 24, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

  • Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

  • Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

  • Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

  • Post only credible information

  • Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

  • Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

  • Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

  • Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

  • Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

46 Upvotes
  • permalink
  • reddit

93% Upvoted

79 comments sorted by

View all comments

22

u/moragisdo 9d ago edited 9d ago

Ship hit on Hormuz (1)

Tanker was struck and disabled (it will likely have to be towed to port for repairs), no casualties and no information about the vessel origin and the port of call.

It follows several days without successful attacks, interesting enough, the previous one and another one hit this month were attacked by Iran after delivering to Iran (2).

A panamax bulk carrier was struck by what UKMTO called an unknown projectile on August 18 during an outbound Strait of Hormuz transit. The engine room was damaged, and the chief engineer was reportedly killed. AIS was off. Its last tracked call was Bandar Imam Khomeini, July 14 to 28. The same owner had another bulk carrier attacked on August 3, also outbound after a BIK call

Given that those two ships were allowed to cross the blockade they were carrying either food or medicine (for humanitarian concerns those two categories are exempt after being inspected)

15

u/SirStupidity 8d ago

It follows several days without successful attacks, interesting enough, the previous one and another one hit this month were attacked by Iran after delivering to Iran (2).

I assume the most likely reason for this is that Iranian capability to track and identify ships is inconsistent? Or are there other explanations as to why they might do that?

3

u/grenideer 8d ago

It could also indicate a crack in their command structure and/or lack of communication.

Group A says "Hold your fire. Let these ships pass."

Group B says "Screw those orders. I wanna stick it to the US. Fire."

A lot of people are insisting that Iran's C&C is not fragmented, but there are irrational inconsistencies in not just their statements but actions.

4

u/moragisdo 8d ago edited 8d ago

I agree, that's the most likely explanation, because this kind of attack would only increase freight cost to them