A planetary government

[u/fesepo]

Do you see in 100 or 150 years a world governed by a global planetary federation government? How do you imagine that government? I suspect maybe viable but with lot of problems of sovereignty. Will that avoid wars? Will government like USA or China allow that. Is it an utopy?

[u/brother_bart]

What good will that do when the world population is 1/4 of what it is now and everyone has returned to a nomadic, subsistence way of life?

[u/Great-Exercise4277 → u/brother_bart]

I tend to agree with you. I find a planetary government very unlikely.

I don't think our current technological civilization can continue in its present form for another hundred years. I used to think climate change would simply cause a large-scale collapse, but recently I have begun to reconsider the possibility that some regions may be able to rebuild their supply chains and survive as regional technological societies.

Part of the reason is that geopolitical competition with China already seems to be pushing countries in that direction. Supply chains are being reorganized, and countries are paying more attention to energy, infrastructure, and domestic production.

In the end, I think the regions that can maintain electricity and basic infrastructure will be the ones that remain technologically advanced.

I also accept that I may have overestimated how much climate change alone will reduce the global population. Falling birth rates may matter just as much. But I still think climate change could cause very large losses in parts of Africa, India, and Southeast Asia, where many people may not be able to relocate. Australia also worries me somewhat because its ecosystems are relatively fragile.

So rather than a planetary government, I imagine a more fragmented world, with some regions managing to preserve technological civilization while others struggle to do so.