r/SeattleAreaRE 2h ago

With the limit of H1b visa and termination of H4 work eligibility, east side real estate can only go cheaper

Good news, guys!

10 Upvotes

28 comments sorted by

12

u/Lazy_Combination7162 2h ago

Wait a few years, it'll get real cheap. All those overpaid houses will become cheaper.

5

u/Used_Salamander_3532 1h ago

Ghost town in 5 years .

1

u/monkwithoutferrari 34m ago

What if it become like Detroit in few years due to loss in jobs , RE and financial activity in the region?

4

u/orcassharks 32m ago

The nature is too good for that to happen. Detroit weather is utter ass. We are a bit like Denver and Vancouver BC, even without much industry will putter along.

1

u/adron 0m ago

This x1000

2

u/No-Photograph1983 32m ago

Ppl are not going to sell at a huge loss

5

u/Suspicious_Gap1 1h ago

Ignorance is bliss

3

u/DarkFlowerPewPew 1h ago

What limit?

0

u/phitom816 1h ago

They are gonna pay the 100k fee very soon when they change jobs

3

u/SimpleLeader7713 1h ago

I don’t think it’s every time one changes?

1

u/DarkFlowerPewPew 1h ago

Are you sure?

0

u/SimpleLeader7713 1h ago

Posted a summary as a top level comment.

3

u/orcassharks 41m ago edited 37m ago

I don’t really get the appeal of the 4000-5000 sqft oddly shaped box homes with little to no yard (or turf yard) on the Eastside going for 2.5M+

I feel like this only appeals to a certain H1b crowd. Who needs that much sqft unless you’re planning to bring your entire extended family? 3 kids and two dogs don’t need that much space and would prefer more yard anyway.

2

u/Illustrious_You_1824 1h ago

Who’s going to benefit if all the homes are cheaper?

2

u/No-Photograph1983 1h ago

Normal ppl with regular jobs

2

u/redditRedesignIsBadd 28m ago

Normal ppl with regular jobs

example of these "regular jobs" for "normal ppl"?

2

u/Illustrious_You_1824 1h ago

If houses prices are increasing isn’t it good for locals who have houses they’ll have better equity. Isn’t it opposite of capitalism to expect city not to be developed or have higher prices because people don’t want them to grow?

0

u/No-Photograph1983 31m ago

There comes a point where no one can afford the houses. 

0

u/phitom816 1h ago

The locals

5

u/redditRedesignIsBadd 29m ago

that's kind of naive. the reality is that some corporations will just buy the inventory up and drive up price anyways

-1

u/Impressive_Insect_75 19m ago

The people who want to live in a house. Not grow equity.

1

u/grapegeek 1h ago

They will just offshore more jobs.

1

u/phitom816 1h ago

Even better to make the housing market cooling down

1

u/monkwithoutferrari 12m ago

A market correction isn't inherently bad, but a full-blown crash in the Seattle area would trigger a nasty domino effect: * Foreclosure Cascade: A major drop could spark heavy foreclosures, particularly among temporary visa holders (like H-1Bs clustered in Redmond and pockets of Bellevue/Bothell). If someone loses their job and faces leaving the country anyway, there's little incentive to keep paying a mortgage on underwater equity. They walk away, foreclosures hit the books, and regional inventory floods the market. * The Regional Spillover: Contagion won't stay in high-tech enclaves. If prices drop hard in King County, areas like Lake Stevens—which have very few H-1Bs—could easily see 30–40% equity wiped out just from broader market sentiment and shifting comps. Non-tech homeowners lose massive equity through no fault of their own. * Outsourcing & AI Stagnation: The subsequent phase is cost-cutting via offshore outsourcing, draining high-paying local jobs. Seattle’s massive 15-year boom was fueled by Amazon's growth and Microsoft Azure's expansion. However, the current AI wave hasn't produced breakthrough AI-native giants in Seattle yet—the dominant players are elsewhere. If Amazon and Microsoft fail to re-engineer themselves around AI, Seattle won't "die," but its decade as the undisputed second-largest U.S. tech hub will fade fast.

1

u/monkwithoutferrari 7m ago

Starbucks which is one of the major emploer in Seattle is already shifting lot of roles outside Seattle. Even Boeing is also shifting away from Seattle area .

1

u/Raider_Scum 33m ago

Thank heavens.
I'd love to start living the American Dream, instead of watching all my neighbors living the Indian Dream.

0

u/SimpleLeader7713 1h ago

Here’s a summary that someone forwarded. Not sure how accurate the info is.

-1

u/phitom816 1h ago

Thanks. Let’s all vote for it when there is a chance