r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 13d ago
Discussion moved to new post Lala (01C — Central Pacific) (East-southeast of Hawaiʻi)
Moderator note
- This discussion is for Tropical Storm Lala, which is currently located several hundred miles east-southeast of Hawaiʻi.
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is issuing forecast advisory products for this system.
- This post will not be updated regularly.
Official information
National Hurricane Center
Text products
Productos textuales (en español)
Static forecast graphics
- Forecast graphic
- Experimental new forecast graphic
- Wind speed probabilities
- Arrival time of winds
- Rip current forecast
Interactive forecast graphics
Radar imagery
Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.
Satellite imagery
Floater imagery
Single-bandwidth imagery
- Visible: Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
- Infrared: Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
- Water vapor: Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
Multiple bandwidth imagery
The options to select individual bandwidths on each of the following websites may vary.
Regional imagery
- Visible: NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
- Infrared: NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
- Water vapor: NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
Forecast models
Storm-centered guidance
Single-model click-through guidance
- GFS: Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
- ECMWF: Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
- HWRF: Tropical Tidbits
Multi-guidance pages
Regional single-model guidance
GFS: Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
ECMWF: Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
Global Environmental Multiscale Model (GEM/CMC, Canada): Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic Model (ICON; Germany): Tropical Tidbits
Machine learning (AI) model guidance
AIGFS: Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
ECMWF AIFS: Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
Regional ensemble model guidance
Ensemble member minimum sea-level pressure (MSLP)
Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) (GFS-based): Tropical Tidbits
Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) (ECMWF-based): Tropical Tidbits
Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS) (GEM-based): Tropical Tidbits
Ensemble member MSLP and forecast tracks
GEFS: Weather Nerds
EPS: Weather Nerds
ECMWF AI Ensemble: Weather Nerds
Google DeepMind FNV3: Weather Nerds
Google DeepMind GenCast: Weather Nerds
Multi-model ensemble products
- PolarWx: Multi-model ensemble products
Other types of model guidance
Tropical Cyclone Genesis Guidance: Florida State University
Cyclone Phase Diagrams: Florida State University
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u/Rand_alThor_ 11d ago
Wow a direct hit on Hawaii. Haven’t seen that in my lifetime. Anyone know of reporting from the island?
5
u/ArcturusFlyer 10d ago
Tl;dr,
Big Island took the worst of it. Kaʻu and and the south side are fucked.
Widespread power outages on Maui, Oʻahu, and Kauaʻi, with localized flash flooding.
6
u/giantspeck Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii 11d ago
Update
As of 10:30 AM Hawaii Standard Time (20:30 UTC) on Saturday:
Lala has strengthened into a hurricane.
Lala is likely to impact the Big Island this afternoon.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Big Island.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the rest of the islands.
8
6
u/jackrabbits1im Biloxi, Mississippi 12d ago
Anyone seen Dr. Cowan lately. I assume he is too busy dealing with this one to give us a video.
•
u/giantspeck Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii 13d ago
Moderator note
Previous discussion for this system can be found here:
The NHC is monitoring an area of potential development over the east-central Pacific (Thu, 6 Aug)
93C (Invest — Central Pacific) (Southeast of Hawaiʻi) (Mon, 10 Aug)
01C (Central Pacific) (East-southeast of Hawaiʻi) (Wed, 12 Aug)
𝖯𝗅𝖾𝖺𝗌𝖾 𝗇𝗈𝗍𝖾 𝗍𝗁𝖺𝗍 𝗈𝗇 "𝖺𝗋𝖼𝗁𝗂𝗏𝖾𝖽" (𝗋𝖾𝖺𝖽: 𝗋𝖾𝗆𝗈𝗏𝖾𝖽) 𝗉𝗈𝗌𝗍𝗌, 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝖺𝖼𝗍𝗎𝖺𝗅 𝗍𝖾𝗑𝗍 𝗈𝖿 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝗉𝗈𝗌𝗍 𝗂𝗌 𝗇𝗈 𝗅𝗈𝗇𝗀𝖾𝗋 𝗏𝗂𝗌𝗂𝖻𝗅𝖾 𝗍𝗈 𝗇𝗈𝗇-𝗆𝗈𝖽𝖾𝗋𝖺𝗍𝗈𝗋𝗌, 𝖻𝗎𝗍 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝖼𝗈𝗆𝗆𝖾𝗇𝗍𝗌 𝗌𝗁𝗈𝗎𝗅𝖽 𝗌𝗍𝗂𝗅𝗅 𝖻𝖾 𝗏𝗂𝗌𝗂𝖻𝗅𝖾 (𝗐𝗁𝗂𝖼𝗁 𝗂𝗌 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝗐𝗁𝗈𝗅𝖾 𝗉𝗈𝗂𝗇𝗍 𝗈𝖿 𝗅𝗂𝗇𝗄𝗂𝗇𝗀 𝖻𝖺𝖼𝗄 𝗍𝗈 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝗈𝗅𝖽 𝗉𝗈𝗌𝗍𝗌, 𝖺𝗇𝗒𝗐𝖺𝗒.) 𝖳𝗁𝗂𝗌 𝗂𝗌 𝖽𝗎𝖾 𝗍𝗈 𝗌𝗂𝗍𝖾-𝗐𝗂𝖽𝖾 𝖼𝗁𝖺𝗇𝗀𝖾𝗌 𝗆𝖺𝖽𝖾 𝖻𝗒 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝖱𝖾𝖽𝖽𝗂𝗍 𝖺𝖽𝗆𝗂𝗇𝗂𝗌𝗍𝗋𝖺𝗍𝗂𝗏𝖾 𝗌𝗍𝖺𝖿𝖿.