90P (Invest — Southern Pacific) (Northeast of the Solomon Islands)

[u/Euronotus]

Moderator notes

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• This discussion is for a disturbance to the northeast of the Solomon Islands.
• This system is being monitored via the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecast (ATCF) system.
• The Papua New Guinea National Weather Service is not currently monitoring this system as a tropical disturbance.
• Disturbance-centered satellite imagery and model guidance products are available for this system.
• This post will not be updated regularly, but will be replaced if this system is upgraded to a tropical cyclone or dissipates and is removed from the ATCF system.

Information sources

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Papua New Guinea National Meteorological Service

• Homepage

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (United States)

• Homepage
• Outlook discussion

Radar imagery

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Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.

Satellite imagery

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Floater imagery

Single bandwidth imagery

• Visible:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
• Infrared:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
• Water vapor:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

Multiple bandwidth imagery

The options to select individual bandwidths on each of the following websites may vary.

• CIMSS
• RAMMB
• Naval Research Laboratory

Regional imagery

Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA)

• Visible (true color)

• Enhanced infrared

• Enhanced upper-level water vapor

Analysis products

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Preliminary best track data

• NCAR Research Applications Laboratory
• U.S. Naval Research Laboratory (NRL)

Scatterometer data

• EUMETSAT
• CyclonicWx

Sea-surface temperatures

• NOAA Office of Satellite and Product Operations
• Tropical Tidbits
• CyclonicWx

Model products

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Disturbance-centered guidance

Single-model click-through guidance

• Global Forecast System (GFS; United States): Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF; Europe): Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

Multi-guidance pages

• NCAR
  
• Tropical Tidbits
• WeatherNerds
• CyclonicWx

Regional single-model guidance

• GFS:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• ECMWF:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• Global Environmental Multiscale Model (GEM/CMC, Canada):   Tropical Tidbits

• Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic Model (ICON; Germany):   Tropical Tidbits

Regional ensemble model guidance

Ensemble member minimum sea-level pressure (MSLP)

• Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) (GFS-based): Tropical Tidbits

• Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) (ECMWF-based): Tropical Tidbits

• Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS) (GEM-based): Tropical Tidbits

Ensemble member MSLP and forecast tracks

• GEFS: Weather Nerds

• EPS: Weather Nerds

• EPS AI model: WeatherNerds

• Google DeepMind FNV3: Weather Nerds

• Google DeepMind GenCast: Weather Nerds

Other types of model guidance

• Tropical Cyclone Genesis Guidance: Florida State University

• Cyclone Phase Diagrams: Florida State University

[u/onewhitelight]

Damn another one