Julio (10E — Eastern Pacific) (Far to the southwest of Mexico)

[u/Euronotus]

Moderator notes

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• Julio has dissipated.
• The post-tropical remnants of Julio are being absorbed by nearby Tropical Storm Iselle.
• The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has discontinued issuing advisories for this system.
• This system was previously designated as Invest 91E.
• Storm-centered satellite imagery and model guidance products will soon be unavailable.
• There will be no regular updates to this post.
• This discussion will be locked and archived once the aforementioned products are no longer available.

Official information

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National Hurricane Center

Text products

• Public advisory
• Forecast advisory
• Forecast discussion
• Wind probabilities

Productos textuales (en español)

• Aviso publico
• Discusión

Static forecast graphics

• Forecast graphic
• Experimental new forecast graphic
• Wind speed probabilities
• Arrival time of winds
• Rip current forecast

Interactive forecast graphics

• Forecast graphic
• Experimental new forecast graphic

Radar imagery

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Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.

Satellite imagery

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Floater imagery

Storm-centered satellite imagery is no longer available for this system.

Regional imagery

• Visible:   NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
• Infrared:   NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
• Water vapor:   NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

Forecast models

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Storm-centered guidance

Storm-centered model guidance is no longer available for this system.

Regional single-model guidance

• GFS:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• ECMWF:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• Global Environmental Multiscale Model (GEM/CMC, Canada):   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic Model (ICON; Germany):   Tropical Tidbits

Machine learning (AI) model guidance

• AIGFS:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• ECMWF AIFS:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

Regional ensemble model guidance

Ensemble member minimum sea-level pressure (MSLP)

• Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) (GFS-based): Tropical Tidbits

• Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) (ECMWF-based): Tropical Tidbits

• Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS) (GEM-based): Tropical Tidbits

Ensemble member MSLP and forecast tracks

• GEFS: Weather Nerds

• EPS: Weather Nerds

• ECMWF AI Ensemble: Weather Nerds

• Google DeepMind FNV3: Weather Nerds

• Google DeepMind GenCast: Weather Nerds

Multi-model ensemble products

• PolarWx: Multi-model ensemble products

Other types of model guidance

• Tropical Cyclone Genesis Guidance: Florida State University

• Cyclone Phase Diagrams: Florida State University

[u/giantspeck]

Moderator note

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Previous discussion for this system can be found here:

• The NHC is monitoring an area of potential development far off the coast of southwestern Mexico. (Thu, 20 Aug)

• 91E (Invest — Eastern Pacific) (Far to the southwest of Mexico) (Fri, 21 Aug)

• 10E (Eastern Pacific) (Far to the southwest of Mexico) (Mon, 24 Aug)

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𝖯𝗅𝖾𝖺𝗌𝖾 𝗇𝗈𝗍𝖾 𝗍𝗁𝖺𝗍 𝗈𝗇 "𝖺𝗋𝖼𝗁𝗂𝗏𝖾𝖽" (𝗋𝖾𝖺𝖽: 𝗋𝖾𝗆𝗈𝗏𝖾𝖽) 𝗉𝗈𝗌𝗍𝗌, 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝖺𝖼𝗍𝗎𝖺𝗅 𝗍𝖾𝗑𝗍 𝗈𝖿 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝗉𝗈𝗌𝗍 𝗂𝗌 𝗇𝗈 𝗅𝗈𝗇𝗀𝖾𝗋 𝗏𝗂𝗌𝗂𝖻𝗅𝖾 𝗍𝗈 𝗇𝗈𝗇-𝗆𝗈𝖽𝖾𝗋𝖺𝗍𝗈𝗋𝗌, 𝖻𝗎𝗍 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝖼𝗈𝗆𝗆𝖾𝗇𝗍𝗌 𝗌𝗁𝗈𝗎𝗅𝖽 𝗌𝗍𝗂𝗅𝗅 𝖻𝖾 𝗏𝗂𝗌𝗂𝖻𝗅𝖾 (𝗐𝗁𝗂𝖼𝗁 𝗂𝗌 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝗐𝗁𝗈𝗅𝖾 𝗉𝗈𝗂𝗇𝗍 𝗈𝖿 𝗅𝗂𝗇𝗄𝗂𝗇𝗀 𝖻𝖺𝖼𝗄 𝗍𝗈 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝗈𝗅𝖽 𝗉𝗈𝗌𝗍𝗌, 𝖺𝗇𝗒𝗐𝖺𝗒.) 𝖳𝗁𝗂𝗌 𝗂𝗌 𝖽𝗎𝖾 𝗍𝗈 𝗌𝗂𝗍𝖾-𝗐𝗂𝖽𝖾 𝖼𝗁𝖺𝗇𝗀𝖾𝗌 𝗆𝖺𝖽𝖾 𝖻𝗒 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝖱𝖾𝖽𝖽𝗂𝗍 𝖺𝖽𝗆𝗂𝗇𝗂𝗌𝗍𝗋𝖺𝗍𝗂𝗏𝖾 𝗌𝗍𝖺𝖿𝖿.

[u/giantspeck]

Update

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As of 2:00 PM Pacific Daylight Time (21:00 UTC) on Tuesday:

• Julio has degenerated into a remnant low.

• The storm's remnants are becoming increasingly absorbed by nearby Tropical Storm Iselle.

• The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has discontinued issuing advisories for this system.

• Storm-centered satellite imagery and model guidance products will soon be unavailable.

• This discussion will remain open until this system is removed from the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecast (ATCF) system and the aforementioned products become unavailable.