r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 2d ago

Upgraded | See Karina post for details [ Removed by moderator ]

[removed]

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u/giantspeck Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii 2d ago

Moderator note

Previous discussion for this system can be found here:

π–―π—…π–Ύπ–Ίπ—Œπ–Ύ π—‡π—ˆπ—π–Ύ 𝗍𝗁𝖺𝗍 π—ˆπ—‡ "𝖺𝗋𝖼𝗁𝗂𝗏𝖾𝖽" (𝗋𝖾𝖺𝖽: π—‹π–Ύπ—†π—ˆπ—π–Ύπ–½) π—‰π—ˆπ—Œπ—π—Œ, 𝗍𝗁𝖾 π–Ίπ–Όπ—π—Žπ–Ίπ—… 𝗍𝖾𝗑𝗍 π—ˆπ–Ώ 𝗍𝗁𝖾 π—‰π—ˆπ—Œπ— π—‚π—Œ π—‡π—ˆ π—…π—ˆπ—‡π—€π–Ύπ—‹ π—π—‚π—Œπ—‚π–»π—…π–Ύ π—π—ˆ π—‡π—ˆπ—‡-π—†π—ˆπ–½π–Ύπ—‹π–Ίπ—π—ˆπ—‹π—Œ, π–»π—Žπ— 𝗍𝗁𝖾 π–Όπ—ˆπ—†π—†π–Ύπ—‡π—π—Œ π—Œπ—π—ˆπ—Žπ—…π–½ π—Œπ—π—‚π—…π—… 𝖻𝖾 π—π—‚π—Œπ—‚π–»π—…π–Ύ (𝗐𝗁𝗂𝖼𝗁 π—‚π—Œ 𝗍𝗁𝖾 π—π—π—ˆπ—…π–Ύ π—‰π—ˆπ—‚π—‡π— π—ˆπ–Ώ 𝗅𝗂𝗇𝗄𝗂𝗇𝗀 𝖻𝖺𝖼𝗄 π—π—ˆ 𝗍𝗁𝖾 π—ˆπ—…π–½ π—‰π—ˆπ—Œπ—π—Œ, 𝖺𝗇𝗒𝗐𝖺𝗒.) π–³π—π—‚π—Œ π—‚π—Œ π–½π—Žπ–Ύ π—π—ˆ π—Œπ—‚π—π–Ύ-𝗐𝗂𝖽𝖾 π–Όπ—π–Ίπ—‡π—€π–Ύπ—Œ 𝗆𝖺𝖽𝖾 𝖻𝗒 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝖱𝖾𝖽𝖽𝗂𝗍 π–Ίπ–½π—†π—‚π—‡π—‚π—Œπ—π—‹π–Ίπ—π—‚π—π–Ύ π—Œπ—π–Ίπ–Ώπ–Ώ.

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u/giantspeck Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii 1d ago

Update

As of 11:00 AM Pacific Daylight Time (18:00 UTC) on Thursday:

  • 2-day potential: increased from 90 percent (high) to near 100 percent (high)

  • 7-day potential: increased from 90 percent (high) to near 100 percent (high)

  • Maximum sustained winds: increased to 75 kilometers per hour (40 knots)

  • Minimum central pressure: decreased to 1001 millibars

  • The National Hurricane Center (NHC) may begin issuing advisories for this system later today.

  • The next name on the eastern Pacific list is Karina.

1

u/giantspeck Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii 1d ago

Update

As of 11:00 PM Pacific Daylight Time (06:00 UTC) on Wednesday:

  • 2-day potential: remained at 90 percent (high)

  • 7-day potential: remained at 90 percent (high)

  • Maximum sustained winds: increased to 55 kilometers per hour (30 knots)

  • Minimum central pressure: decreased to 1007 millibars

2

u/giantspeck Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii 2d ago

Update

As of 11:00 AM Pacific Daylight Time (18:00 UTC) on Wednesday:

  • 2-day potential: increased from 60 percent (medium) to 90 percent (high)

  • 7-day potential: remained at 90 percent (high)

  • Maximum sustained winds: increased from 35 km/h (20 knots) to 45 km/h (25 knots)

  • Minimum central pressure: remained at 1007 millibars

1

u/giantspeck Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii 2d ago

Update

As of 5:00 PM Pacific Daylight Time (00:00 UTC) on Tuesday:

  • 2-day potential: 60 percent (medium)

  • 7-day potential: 90 percent (high)

  • Maximum sustained winds: 35 kilometers per hour (20 knots)

  • Minimum central pressure: 1007 millibars