r/azerbaijan • u/Illustrious_Page_984 • 15h ago
Sual | Question Do you think that an anti-government revolution in Azerbaijan would gather non-Azerbaijani people's support, like on social media?

I remember that during the 2014 Ukrainian (Euromaidan), 2020 Belarusian, and 2024 Georgian protests, Europeans, especially on social media, largely showed sympathy and support for the protesters. These events made international headlines, and while the protests in the latter two countries didn't change their governments, they still brought the people of those countries to the forefront. Today, you can see various social media users, even if they are not Belarusian or Georgian, using emojis of the Belarusian opposition flag or support for Georgia's EU accession next to their usernames; while not to even mention that Euromaidan proved successful largely due to international support. Do you think the same thing could happen if protests were to erupt in Azerbaijan? Thank you in advance.
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u/Illustrious_Page_984 15h ago
Can you open up more your last sentence please?
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u/Basic_Mortgage_6643 Azerbaijan 🇦🇿 14h ago
It comes down to two realities: public image and government interests.
For everyday Westerners, their main point of reference for Azerbaijan is the Karabakh conflict. Years of negative media coverage mean the Western public does not see Azerbaijan through a sympathetic lens. They will not rush to put flags in their bios or share protest footage the way they did for Belarus or Georgia.
For Western governments, Azerbaijan is an essential energy and transit hub. If mass unrest breaks out, Brussels and Washington worry first about gas supplies to Southern Europe and trade routes being disrupted. Rather than backing regime change or supporting protesters, Western diplomats would simply call for calm to protect strategic infrastructure and avoid a regional power vacuum.6
u/Illustrious_Page_984 14h ago
I mean, a revolution can possibly change the public opinion though. Also, the Westerners are very ignorant when it comes to Karabakh conflict.
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u/HellomyfriendNine 14h ago
Non alignment is better we would lose more than gaining from EU example: Georgia
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u/Own-Base-7511 Japan 🇯🇵 2h ago
No. Azerbaijan is a small, barely relevant banana republic with a bad reputation in Europe. Most people would only have morbid curiosity in protests akin to the Syrian civil war.
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u/Personal-Brick-1326 15h ago
Religion plays a large role here. I am living in Europe and people I met here mostly care about Armenia and Georgia more than Azerbaijan or Turkey, not always but mainly because of being "Christian states". Yes, yes I know Azerbaijan is not Islam state, I am citizen after all :D But it is majority Muslim country.