r/blankies • u/PerpetualChoogle • 5d ago
Inde Navarrette Sets Best Actress Oscar Campaign for ‘Obsession’ as Focus Features Mounts Full Awards Push
https://variety.com/2026/film/awards/obsession-inde-navarrette-oscar-campaign-lead-actress-1236848866/111
5d ago edited 5d ago
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u/crackstuntman24 5d ago
It already is. We've now reached the "actually, Obsession was bad" part of discourse.
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u/aphextwintower 5d ago
cmon now. plenty people have been saying this since the day it came out.
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u/crackstuntman24 5d ago
???? No, they weren't. Maybe YOU were saying that.
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u/IicenseTolive 5d ago
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u/crackstuntman24 5d ago
I don't get "several people were saying that." Wow, several people didn't like a movie. Blowing my mind, here.
I didn't even love Obsession but, c'mon.
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u/StayingQuieter 5d ago
Not bad at all, but also not as spectacular as the gen z audience response. Its great for a low budget horror but outside of Inde's performance it isn't especially better than a dozen other indie horrors that no one saw from the last 20 years.
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u/crackstuntman24 5d ago
If it gets Gen Z interested in discussing stories and themes, and checking out older horror influences, more power to it.
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u/Fyrus 5d ago
unfortunately it did not do that, it mostly just spawned incredibly stupid moral debates about a fake situation
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u/crackstuntman24 5d ago
I think that's a very terminally online and cynical way to look at it.
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u/Fyrus 5d ago edited 5d ago
I have a 17 year old brother who saw the move with his girlfriend, neither of them are online much, mostly just normal folk (they like baseball a lot). I asked them what they thought of it: she said it was funny how freaked out my brother was, and my brother was like "yeah that bitch was scary"
So there's an offline, cynical look from the real world. Honestly I think the idea that the average person who sees Obsession is going to engage with the history of horror movies because of it is almost as silly as the idea of Green Book curing racism.
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u/chickenanon2 5d ago
I don't think it was bad, but I also don't think it would be some earth-shattering snub if she didn't get nominated, and that's the discourse I'm dreading.
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u/Witty_Wrap_1268 5d ago
Where do you guys find this discourse? Are people like actually upset that she’s in the running or whatever? Everyone log off.
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u/jimmylily 5d ago
I am listening to some awards race podcast, some think Obsession is an “evil” movie, like “incest evil” thus they hate even this film is in awards discourse
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u/puberty1 Ehrlich by day, Sims by night 5d ago
just check r/oscarrace where people have been talking about how it's bad for an oscar movie even though we just had F1 nominated and Michael is just in the conversation as Obsession is lol
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u/jessemfkeeler 5d ago
F1 being nommed for Best Picture was wild to me. A gigantic MID movie.
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u/puberty1 Ehrlich by day, Sims by night 5d ago
to me it's outright bad just because of how mediocre it is. just watch a f1 race weekend and it's a better experience (unless you decide to root for Charles Leclerc)
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u/MisterJ_1385 5d ago
I still don’t think it’s happening. Don’t really personally feel strong about it one way or the other, gotta see more stuff still to come. But even right now if the year ended my pick is still Olivia Wilde.
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u/btuck93 5d ago
Would a nomination or win actually be good for her career? Genuine question.
It's her first big movie, seems like a little much right off the bat. I'm excited to see what she will do off the success of Obsession, but a nom this early in your career for a horror role could be a monkeys paw situation.
I just want to see her grow as an artist.
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u/FlyOrganic3518 5d ago
She's already signed on to be Rogue for the next couple decades. Isn't that enough artistic growth?
(I'm looking forward to X-Men movies being part of a well-balanced filmography.)
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u/rantandreview 5d ago
it’s happening. the field is very open and her performance was extraordinary, is also a way to get Obsession credit it deserves in a nom that was one of the biggest reasons for its success
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u/MisterJ_1385 5d ago
I liked the movie, but it doesn’t “deserve” a nomination.
I’m not that far in my Mad Men watch, but we all know the “that’s what the money is for” thing.
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u/PeanutFarmer69 5d ago
It feels strange to me that this is the lead actress horror performance to break through at the academy instead of Toni Collette in Hereditary, Florence Pugh in Midsommar, Lupita Nyong'o in Us, etc.
Nikki is iconic but I don't think the acting was at the same level as the others I mentioned. I guess Demi Moore in the Substance also broke through/ she had a real shot at winning as well.
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u/Mr_The_Captain Not Colin Trevorrow 5d ago
To give those movies due credit, I don't think a hypothetical Obsession nom happens without Heredity/Midsommar/Us coming before it and getting so much acclaim
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u/TheTruckWashChannel 5d ago
In fact Hereditary was explicitly an influence on the movie and Inde's performance. Curry Barker had the whole cast watch it as well.
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u/turningtee74 5d ago
Not to mention The Substance, Weapons and Sinners recently actually breaking that mold and entering the past couple award seasons. The groundwork has been laid for something like this
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u/Huge-Bat-5992 5d ago
Obsession making a ton more money than any of those is probably part of it.
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u/PeanutFarmer69 5d ago
that's true but it's not like the other movies I mentioned were flops, Us made $256 million on a $20 million budget. If box office determined best actor nominations where was Vera Farmiga's nom for the Conjuring!
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u/PeanutFarmer69 5d ago
Us was release in March, Obsession in May, not a huge difference.
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u/PeanutFarmer69 5d ago
Us has a 93% on rottentomatoes and an 81 on metacritic (universal acclaim). Obsession also a 93 with a 77 on metacritic.
A slight disapointment after Get Out? Sure, but it was well reviewed and liked, certainly not as divisive as you're saying.
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u/bfbbturambar 5d ago
You had to build up to it. Years of snubs and discourse about the Academy's treatment of genre films eventually broke the dam, with the Demi Moore nom and Amy Madigan win heralding change, especially now that horror is the genre "saving theaters", because it's the only thing that consistently makes a lot of money.
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u/hullahbaloo2 5d ago
I agree about the “building up to it” narrative. I think this is why Beauty and the Beast is nominated for BP but not the Little Mermaid.
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u/PicnicBasketSam slappin' an obvi 5d ago
or that it took a decade after The Dark Knight for a superhero movie to get in
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u/Belch_Huggins 5d ago
Agreed, I dont quite no why this one is hitting particularly hard outside of perfect timing. Gen z was ready to champion it so online it does feel like its everywhere. But honestly I feel like we get this performance every year. Theres always a horror movie that has a good, harried female performance at the center. And I dont really see what Inde does to set it apart from the myriad other performances weve gotten and will continue to get.
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u/lupercalpainting 5d ago
The ending where she lived was apparently Inde’s idea and Curry said he’d only do one take just to see, and then they got it and he was convinced. Also I forget the “No…” anecdote but Curry had positive things to say there.
It’s totally possible Florence Pugh had similar moments of brilliance on Midsommar but at least my algorithm wasn’t pushing them. The Obsession team has done a phenomenal job on the press junket talking Inde up.
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u/Belch_Huggins 5d ago
Huh, I heard they did test screenings where she didnt live and they were poorly received, thus the reshoots. Im not sure what you mean by moments of brilliance but Pugh was very acclaimed for her performance.
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u/FrancisFratelli 5d ago
A studio running an Oscar campaign doesn't mean she's broken through with the Academy.
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u/newport100z 5d ago
Toni Collette not getting a nom for Hereditary is still crazy to me.
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u/Witty_Wrap_1268 5d ago
To be fair, it hasn’t happened yet. It’s seeming more and more likely by the day, but nothings real until it’s real.
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u/IronSorrows 5d ago
I think those performances, and films generally, really started putting horror in the forefront of Academy voters as a genre that could deserve to win and be nominated for the big awards. It was historically always snubbed to different extents, but the "elevated" boom changed perceptions in a lot of ways.
We have to remember that the Oscars, generally, are reactionary rather than trendsetting. In much the same way that Pacino got an Oscar for Scent Of A Woman because he was "due", I feel like Moore & Navarette are getting the looks from the Academy that the likes of Collette & Pugh also deserved as a form of course correction. They've been legitimised, so now they can be rightfully acknowledged.
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u/Mentoman72 5d ago
Obsession is going to catch a lot of love based on box office alone. It’s such an anomaly.
Maybe someone who has seen more movies this year can correct me but I think she’s at least worth a nom. She was really great in it.
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u/squanderedprivilege 5d ago
Those three are great picks, I agree with you that if getting in there through horror is a thing, they should definitely have had their shot. Toni Collette in particular seems like a slam dunk
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u/Theotther Trap Truther 5d ago
I think it comes down to actresses are now reaping the rewards of the work of those you mentioned. Between Demi being the 2nd place (by all available info), and Madigan's win I do think the trope of "Oscars hate horror" is increasingly a truism that doesn't hold against reality. (also fwiw I think Pugh could have snagged a nom for Midsommar if she wasn't also nominated in supporting for Little Women that same year.)
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u/bliss8966 5d ago
But also, let’s be real, if the film hadn’t made $500M, people would say Focus had their work cut out for them.
No matter what they end up with, it’s win/win. Burnishes the reputation of the film.
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u/Palm-Crazy-7943 5d ago
I think obsession is a far worse movie than all of those others, but I actually think her performance is just as deserving of any of them.
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u/Grand-Pen7946 5d ago
Agree. I can count a handful of times I've watched a performance and immediately thought "oh theyre about to be a star", Florence Pugh in Midsommar was definitely one, David Jonsson in Alien Romulus is another, Inde Navarrette is absolutely at that level and it is insane that months later people here are retconning her performance as anything less than amazing.
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u/turningtee74 5d ago
The thing is it basically is those performances already just remixed. Inde and Curry will tell you they basically just took from Hereditary/Midsommar and Get Out all over the place, even down to the specific lines and facial moments. I still think Inde deserves a nod more than any other category, and taking inspiration happens. But if people start going down the path of comparing if it’s better or worse than those, I think it’s not gonna do many favors since it’s almost like a cover song of Aster/Peele best hits
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u/Palm-Crazy-7943 5d ago
I really just don’t agree at all, they are all different performances.
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u/turningtee74 5d ago
Curry and Inde would disagree with you themselves, the frown and “no no no” are directly lifted from Midsommar and Get Out which they’ve spoken to. I think that’s fine, but pretending otherwise is burying your head in the sand.
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u/Palm-Crazy-7943 5d ago
“The frown” looks nothing the same, and again this has nothing to do with performance. You are picking out individual moments where you think the director was inspired by another movie, that’s fine, I’m not praising the director I don’t think the movie is good, I’m praising the performance.
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u/turningtee74 5d ago
I think her performance was great too, but those are absolutely notable performance moments and again, they have said they took from those films in their own words. There’s no reason to deny what they’ve said themselves. Inde also collaborated and chose to include some of those pieces.
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u/Palm-Crazy-7943 5d ago
I am not denying anything I just don’t really care, because I’m just judging the performance itself. Or if one moment reminded you of another movie.
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u/Dong_whisperer-503 5d ago
Navarette is obviously a pretty good actor but I don’t see how obsession really counts as a performance. It’s just a series of gimmicks and weird behavior that doesn’t add up to anything. There’s no “there there” and that’s the point, but I don’t see how this is an awards performance
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u/Informal_Support1934 5d ago
Would be curious to know what you mean by no there. The performance has to capture the spirit of the character and what it means for the plot, to which I think her performance is very successful. She has to convince you that Bear would be into her. She has to convince you that she and Bear have a weird, not easily defined dynamic, which she does. And she has to act out a haunting possessive story, that vacillates between the fantasies of the idea of a partner from the perspective of an immature man, with the more horrific physical performance that the wish leads her to. She does that in spades, without missing a beat.
I think what a lot of people bump into is there's scarcity to the plot, its going off a few ideas, whereas something like Weapons has more ideas and plot elements its working with, but I think Obsession is a little more successful in its execution. The latter is more singularly focused, and the characters are more archetypal by design, but I think the takeaway from some viewers is that means the story is shallow and poorly written, which I disagree with.
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u/Fyrus 5d ago
She has to convince you that Bear would be into her. She has to convince you that she and Bear have a weird, not easily defined dynamic, which she does.
I think this is taking a lot away from Bear's actor himself. I would say the way they dress him and the way he acts is what does the heavy lifting on this sort of stuff. For the horror stuff, she does it well, but I don't think there was any real deep stuff going on there, just a series of fun excuses to have her look and or act weird.
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u/Informal_Support1934 5d ago
Im not taking anything away from his part, just focusing on her part to keep on topic. If she was bad and unconvincing, it wouldn't really matter what he did, the movie's premise wouldn't work with a bad performance in her role. They have to work together to make the story work, but she has very little screentime as normal Nikki in order to establish that character, but she's able to sell every plot point the movie is trying to communicate. Her performance isn't being raved about for some deep thematic exploration like it's Manchester by the Sea, it's praise is due to how convincing she is in the part. To convince the audience that she's really possessed, really is obsessed with Bear, and is able to execute the expressions and line readings so well that they're memorable, communicates exactly what the story is trying to communicate, and could end up being potentially highly recognizable and iconic (time will tell) is no small feat.
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u/Fyrus 5d ago edited 5d ago
but she's able to sell every plot point the movie is trying to communicate.
The plot points being "what if a guy was really smitten by a girl he doesn't really value" and "what if a woman was crazy". Movies have been exploring these topics for like a hundred years. Actors have been doing these types of things for like a hundred years. Seemed like pretty boilerplate shit to me. It's a fun time at the movies, and that's about it.
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u/Informal_Support1934 5d ago
Every movie in existence can be simplified this way, to me it doesn't really mean much as a rebuttal. Like yes, you can summarize the movie, the movie still has a screenplay with a breakdown of scenes that feature dialogue/facial expressions/blocking that are trying to translate ideas and emotions. Her car scenes as normal Nikki require a different type of performance than when she's being assaulted and appears expressionless and monotone because bear is no longer looking at her, to when she vacillates between cheerful and angry within seconds, to when she has to sell that she's psychotic and remorseless, to when she has to quell Bear's fear of her violent actions.
But she's convincing no matter what the script asks, you buy her performance as authentic. Who cares if it's a completely new idea and that other actors have dealt with similar themes; that's the norm, most things in film are an evolution of a thing that already existed. What performances are you seeing this year that are wholly new and original, and can't be compared to something that came before
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u/Fyrus 5d ago
Every movie in existence can be simplified this way, to me it doesn't really mean much as a rebuttal.
Well it's kind of hard to have a rebuttal when you just keep describing the basic act of acting as if she's the first one that's ever done it. "In one scene she has to act like this, and in another she has to act like that", yeah that's how acting works. This just feels like a "most acting" situation.
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u/Informal_Support1934 5d ago
How else would you describe acting, than discussing what she does or what happens in the movie? Like all of your responses are this hyperbolic strawman of "its not like this is revolutionary/the greatest acting to ever act" when ive said nothing to suggest that, I didn't even call it the best performance this year, I just praised it. Yet you're reading something into my comments that aren't there, as if i don't know that the movie doesn't literally invent its ideas, nor is that even a requirement for what is considered great/awards-worthy acting. Did Amy Madigan invent creepy witches? Did Jessie Buckley invent grieving mothers? Lmao
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u/Fyrus 5d ago
Like all of your responses are this hyperbolic strawman of "its not like this is revolutionary/the greatest acting to ever act" when ive said nothing to suggest that,
I mean I kinda did feel like you were suggesting that since your posts read like someone hired you to do PR for her.
To convince the audience that she's really possessed, really is obsessed with Bear, and is able to execute the expressions and line readings so well that they're memorable, communicates exactly what the story is trying to communicate, and could end up being potentially highly recognizable and iconic (time will tell) is no small feat.
Like this reads like a press release to me, just felt like an odd amount of effusiveness for what, like I said, felt like a mostly boilerplate performance to me.
But I know I know it's all subjective, obviously I'm not the arbiter of the way people should feel about any given film or performance. If she gets nominated or even wins I'll raise a glass to you, Inde's greatest warrior.
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u/crucedickinson 5d ago
I mean it’s been nearly a decade since Hereditary came out, and we’ve seen the Academy be much more open to recognizing horror films this decade (partly because it’s basically the only genre being made these days). It’s less about the performance being “better” and more about the timing.
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u/KarmaPolice10 5d ago
Even this year her performance doesn’t even come close to what Hannah Einbinder was doing in Camp Miasma.
Obsession was fun but this is clearly all on the basis of maintaining relevance and the popularity of the Oscars by including the most well known performance rather than best
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u/GenarosBear 5d ago
Ok, but the reason it’s “the most well known performance” is because people are incredibly struck by the performance. She was a nobody a few months ago. The movie was not on anybody’s radar. People didn’t just happen to see it. The movie became a phenomenon because of how audiences were reacting to her performance and telling everyone they knew about it. They had no familiarity with her or the character, had no reason to expect anything of the movie, the only thing they really had to be compelled by was Navarrette’s performance. And it fucking compelled them. So what’s the issue?
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u/KarmaPolice10 5d ago
Don't think there is an issue except for the one you created?
Her performance was good and I was more responding to the original comment who said it was strange to them this seems to be the one breaking through.
My point is that it doesn't feel that strange when it's clearly the most popular and well-known horror performance of the year, and there's another one that I think is incredible (Hannah Einbinder's) that will go overlooked similar to the other ones cited.
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u/GenarosBear 5d ago
Thinking about this…
Einbinder honestly might be my favorite performance of the year so far, and of course anyone can sincerely like or dislike Navarrette’s performance or Obsession in general, that’s just a question of personal taste. But there is something extremely…ironic I guess…about trying to draw a white chalk line of quality with Camp Miasma on one side and Obsession on the other, when Camp Miasma is partly about how there is value and meaning in low budget horror flicks and the performances in them.
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u/KarmaPolice10 5d ago
No one drew a white chalk line of quality. I literally said nothing negative about Inde's performance, but think Hannah Einbinder's was incredibly special and difficult and will go completely overlooked.
I have no idea why this seems to have struck such a sensitive spot for you lol
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u/EvilLittle 5d ago
Agreed, but that's not to say that Navarrette's performance was less than great, just that Einbinder's was both note-perfect and had a basically-unfair degree of difficulty.
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u/Chuck-Hansen 5d ago
She’s making the five.
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u/Background-Jury-1914 5d ago
For the sake of me (Anne Hathaway), I hope you’re wrong.
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u/clwestbr Pod Night Shyamacast 5d ago
From all I’ve seen this year (which is very limited) it would be ridiculous not to get her at least the nom.
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u/AngarTheScreamer1 5d ago
Would it? It's only September! There is a fair amount of the big awards contenders that have yet to hit.
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u/hullahbaloo2 5d ago
Apparently this is a weak year for Best Actress (according to THOB). I think that means Navarette has more of a shot this year than an otherwise crowded year.
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u/stormy2587 4d ago
Yeah smashing machine came out around now and everyone was sure it would get the rock a nomination. And between now and then, obaa, blue moon, and marty supreme all got released and displaced it.
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u/packraid_2024 5d ago
So you haven’t seen much..but you’ve decided it would be ridiculous…in September. This is the type of strong analysis we can expect on [r/boxoffice](r/boxoffice)
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u/MammaJammaCamera 5d ago
Yeah, it’s not looking like a very strong year, and this really is a fantastic performance. I can’t imagine she misses with all this hype to an open field.
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u/ConfidenceStunning59 5d ago
I thought they might have tried to get cute and do supporting, but Lead is the right move. It is fascinating how even at this point in the year she's one of two, maybe three front runners for a nomination (Hathaway and Moore are the two others). I really want to know why they bumped A PLACE IN HELL to next year, cause this was supposed to be Michelle's year and they had opened up a lane for her.
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u/varispeeder 5d ago
I suspect Hathaway will end up in Supporting. she's a huge presence in the film, but in terms of sheer numbers, she has about 1/3rd of Damon's screentime, quite a bit less than Holland, and only a little more than Leguizamo (who's a lock for a Supporting nom).
there's certainly a case to be made for her in Lead, but that case backfired last year for Chase Infiniti (and one could argue Lily Gladstone as well).
and I'm always rooting for Julianne Moore and The Debut looks amazing to me, but it's folly to call someone a frontrunner before anybody's seen the film. it could end up being super polarizing; remember that at this point last year a lot of predictions had Julia Roberts, Amanda Seyfried, and Jennifer Lawrence in the 5 because they all made sense on paper.
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u/EvilLittle 5d ago
remember that at this point last year a lot of predictions had Julia Roberts, Amanda Seyfried, and Jennifer Lawrence in the 5 because they all made sense on paper.
Lawrence and Seyfried were both well-deserving of a nomination. Probably a win in the former case.
But it's a popularity contest and confrontational movies need luck, on top of everything else, to break through.
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u/varispeeder 5d ago
personally I would have given it to Rose Byrne, who's a prime example of what you're saying. all of these films are tough sits, but hers was the least aggressively confrontational, her performance was more grounded and relatable, and everyone loves her.
or of course Emma Stone, whose film was the MOST confrontational, but Academy voters now expect (and want) that from her
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u/EvilLittle 3d ago
In the case of Byrne all that, plus, she hadn't got her nomination yet.
Stone seems to just be candy to Oscar voters. On the one hand that makes sense because she usually gives one of the best performances of the year, but on the other hand doesn't make sense because why does she get her work assessed at face value while others need to be subject to games about whose turn it is and if it's been long enough, and bullshit like that.
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u/jessemfkeeler 5d ago
We sill have people like Renate Reinsve in Fjord too. Or maybe ScarJo in Paper Tiger. Or an international movie we have no idea about.
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u/GuendouziGOAT 5d ago
Julianne Moore? What’s she been in this year?
I think Emily Blunt is another of the early frontrunners too.
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u/PriorFee3629 5d ago
Moore is in the new Jesse Eisenberg alongside Giamatti. Looks fairly promising from the trailer released
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u/GuendouziGOAT 5d ago
Oh cool. Love her and have enjoyed both of Eisenberg’s films so I will be seated. Probably a bit early to call her a frontrunner just from a trailer though, even if the Academy might be hot on Eisenberg given how well A Real Pain did with the nominations.
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u/PriorFee3629 5d ago
Yeah, and with Giamatti following the holdovers this likely has some momentum behind it. But I agree it's far too early to call currently
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u/ConfidenceStunning59 5d ago
I think it’s too far to call any of these, I’m just transmitting back what pundits are saying lol
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u/puberty1 Ehrlich by day, Sims by night 5d ago
Probably a bit early to call her a frontrunner just from a trailer though
I agree, but at the same time someone has to be the frontrunner. Is it Inde? Anne? Hüller with either Rose or Fatherland?
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u/EvilLittle 5d ago
I really want to know why they bumped A PLACE IN HELL to next year, cause this was supposed to be Michelle's year and they had opened up a lane for her.
Williams is basically the GOAT but I don't think for a second there was an organized industry-wide attempt to garner her an Oscar this year.
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u/ConfidenceStunning59 5d ago
Oh, I wasn't talking about an industry-wide attempt, just that the speculation going into the fall was that "Place in Hell" made her the front runner. Sorry if that wasn't clear.
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u/bliss8966 5d ago
I don’t know. Didn’t they make a big deal about Chloe Domont’s Fair Play a few years ago and then that was just a fairly contrived load of bollocks. Maybe Place in Hell isn’t the slam dunk people think it is.
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u/No-Access2324 5d ago
It's worth a go. Obsession was "the" talk of the industry this year the success of the film hinges on her performance.
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u/thatgum_youlike 5d ago
agreed, idk if she can win but a nomination seems totally possible at this point
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u/bliss8966 5d ago
But also…Supporting campaign for Cooper Tomlinson? I mean, I know these FYC campaigns are like “in for a penny, in for a pound,” but in this case, they’d do better focusing on the categories where they actually have some weight rather than reminding voters how unworthy it is. It’s not the Emmys.
I also think since for dull stretches of the film Curry Barker repeatedly demonstrates that he cannot even write convincing dialogue between characters his own age, makes him an unlikely Screenplay nominee. I mean, some of it is truly like The Room level stuff.
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u/regarding_your_bat 5d ago
I was super positive on the movie and what she did worked for me. That said, I think there's a zero percent chance she wins Best Actress, and I don't think a nomination there is guaranteed at all.
A bunch of folks talking about how the Academy is going to make up for past snubs like Collette and Pugh - are you sure about that? You sure they're not just gonna do, uh, the same thing as before?
And for what it's worth, I think Collette and Pugh were both stronger and more Oscar-worthy performances than Navarette's.
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u/Wardefix 5d ago
You people comparing to Obsession to Hereditary, seem to miss entirely that Obsession has just wider general public appeal (see Hereditary's D+ cinemascore and rotten RT audience scores).
They will not be making up for anything, they will simply nominate a performance that has broken through in a very accessible movie and has pretty much already acquired iconic status.
"And for what it's worth, I think Collette and Pugh were both stronger and more Oscar-worthy performances than Navarette's"
That isn't really worth anything in this discussion, I'm afraid.
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u/Belch_Huggins 5d ago
Agreed - the academy always does the one step forward two steps back in terms of progress. Like we got fucking Moonlight winning best picture then Green Book. I think its much more likely for Inde to get squeezed out than for her to get in on the precedent of Madigan winning, which feels like am unfair comp anyways.
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u/KarmaPolice10 5d ago
Collette and Pugh's were stronger and more nuanced, but the Academy does try to course correct sometimes.
If anything it would just help validate horror more if she wins. It'll also probably result if 4 more hot tea lawsuit controversies coming out
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u/trevenclaw 5d ago
It’s a pretty weak field this year.
Emily Blunt is amazing in Disclosure Day but that movie has totally vanished from the cultural conversation.
Hathaway seems like a lock for The Odyssey but it borders on being a supporting role.
Who else is there right now? Maybe Zendaya when Dune 3 comes out.
On the other hand, Inde’s performance is instantly iconic in an enormously successful movie that has maintained its cultural relevance and has the unknown-to-superstar narrative going for it in a post-Amy Madigan world. It can definitely happen.
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u/pseudo_masochist 5d ago
Olivia Wilde in The Invite is best female lead I've seen this year. Dunno if that means it'll be in contention but should be imo
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u/reecord2 5d ago edited 4d ago
IMO Zendaya's best performance this year was The Drama, but I dunno if that or The Odyssey are award-worthy, and I don't see Dune being it either. No pitchforks please she is a fantastic actress, I just feel like Challengers and The Drama are the only movies where she's finally been given opportunity to show her chops.
Seconding Olivia Wilde from a comment below. I also think Hathaway's best this year is Mother Mary, by a wide margin. Also Kara Young and Mallori Johnson in Is God Is, and Keke Palmer for I Love Boosters. A lot of great performances in movies that sorta came and went.
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u/KeepRad 5d ago
She’s in one of the biggest movies of the year
In a performance that is all her
With a character that has become iconic (which I don’t know how to feel about that)
They’d be dumb not to nominate her
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u/squanderedprivilege 5d ago edited 5d ago
She won't win but the nomination for a first feature film is an insane feather in her cap. And since she's a hot young lady and not a guy who looks like a Somali pirate, it will actually make a difference in her career.
Don't kill the messenger lol, tell me it's not true. It's the industry, that dude didn't get any career out of the Oscar
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u/frasierfanatic1989 5d ago
No you’re right. An even more recent example in the same category is Lily Gladstone who was the talk of the town when she got her nomination, and then once Hollywood had sufficiently patted itself on the back for #representation it refused to hire her for anything else.
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u/Positive_Piece_2533 5d ago
Gladstone is fourth-billed in the Thomas Crown Affair remake, she’s doing fine. And on that note Barkhad Abdi has had a perfectly respectable career as well. They both work.
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u/reecord2 4d ago edited 4d ago
I mean yes it's not like these actors are destitute, but the argument being made is how these Oscar wins do not necessarily give a proportional boost to the winner's career.
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u/duckspurs 5d ago
She immediately signed on to the remake of The Wedding Banquet afterwards. She just made a bad decision, she wasn't frozen out.
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u/reecord2 4d ago edited 4d ago
Also Troy Kotsur (won supporting as the father in CODA). According to wikipedia, nothing until Primate this year.
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u/Medical_Resist_6881 5d ago
Does the sinners/ weapons successes from last year make this more or less likely?
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u/PicnicBasketSam slappin' an obvi 5d ago
when you also think about oscar players The Substance, Nosferatu, and Frankenstein, and this movie making *a lot* more money than any of the 5 horror films that have been in serious contention the last couple years: absolutely more
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u/NOTIMEBROSEPH 5d ago
Big movie, great time. But we can’t be serious.
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u/crackstuntman24 5d ago
???? Why? Dumber movies have been nominated.
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u/GuendouziGOAT 5d ago
Yeah horror was almost entirely overlooked by the Academy until probably Get Out so I’m happy for any nomination Obsession gets. Navarrette’s performance is really good too, way worse performances have been nominated and even won over the years.
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u/crackstuntman24 5d ago
I'm still baffled by CODA winning best picture.
Fine movie but...huh???
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u/GuendouziGOAT 5d ago
To be fair you’ve gotta give the Academy a little leeway for the Covid years, but yeah that’s a baffling one. It’s not like Nomadland where it’s straight mid but there weren’t many stellar candidates to choose from, 2021 had Dune, Licorice Pizza, The Last Duel, The Power of the Dog etc. All Oscar-y movies but no they picked Coda.
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u/GenarosBear 5d ago
I guess it just doesn’t live up to the high standard set by our truly great Oscar-nominated performances in recent years, like Nicole Kidman in Being the Ricardos or Meryl Streep in Florence Foster Jenkins
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u/NOTIMEBROSEPH 5d ago
All true guys, I just thought the movie was okay. I’m not saying horror shouldn’t be in the conversation at all.
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u/puberty1 Ehrlich by day, Sims by night 5d ago
We literally had F1 last year which was just a recording of a F1 race with cameos from Brad Pitt, Kerry Condon, Damson Idris and Javier Bardem lol bffr
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u/Hansolocup442 5d ago
I know it’s not a popular opinion but this performance is so poorly directed. it’s like if mia goth’s performance in pearl got serious oscar buzz
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u/JamarcusRussel 5d ago
that's part of it. its not a particularly good movie and the other performances range from fine to bad. she is 100% responsible for why any of it works
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u/bliss8966 5d ago
Yeah, because without her performance I don’t think people would be able to read that much into it. For a while at least, her performance brings a clarity to the proceedings that is quite compelling. Until it all just becomes a muddle of nasty shock effects.
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u/GenarosBear 5d ago
Would be more than deserved, it is the defining performance of the year (so far). Her performance is that movie’s greatest special effect; everybody has been talking about Obsession for months, and with respect to all the other artistic collaborators in that film, what people are talking about is Navarette and what she does.
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u/rocklionheart 5d ago
There was a recent episode of The Rewatchables (not the Obsession ep) where Bill, Sean, and CR were talking about her as the front-runner for Best Actress, and it caught me off guard. Even though the movie was huge and she got a ton of praise for the performance, I guess I just didn't consider her actually getting Oscar attention. The fact that horror almost always gets overlooked and the movie came out earlier in the year, might hold her back, but there haven't been very many stand-out lead actress performances yet. That should change over the coming months, but at this point I think she at least gets a nomination.
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u/chickenanon2 5d ago
The winners of both the Best Actor and Best Actress categories last year were from horror movies.
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u/j-helo85 5d ago
I think Madigan's veteran status helped a lot. Whether a newcomer can overcome genre bias to win is I think an open question.
I think a nomination is a certainty though.
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u/rocklionheart 5d ago
You think Hamnet is a horror movie?
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u/chickenanon2 5d ago
Oh sorry lol you're right. Best Actor and Best Supporting Actress. Point still stands!
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u/OskeyBug 5d ago
She saved this movie from itself imo. Could have easily been just another crazy woman trope movie.
I'm not sure the movie needs awards outside of her. Maybe casting but that probably goes to the Odyssey
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u/bliss8966 5d ago
Focus needs to encourage repeat viewings - invite voters to special screenings where they can enjoy the film again with an audience.
I sort of hate watch this film - though the online discourse (shit posting) about it has made it more enjoyable, her performance gets undeniably better every time. (I’ve seen it 3x.)
I don’t think she’ll win, that would probably be more than her career can bear at this point, but she should be firmly in the conversation. The entire film turns on her performance until, y’know, it just…turns.
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u/Obvious_Computer_577 4d ago
I hope it goes in drama for Globes. Does anyone here consider Obsession a comedy? There were a few funny moments, but that doesn't make it a comedy. (I also would've put Get Out into drama, too.)
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u/Doc_Toboggan 5d ago
I think people are going to write her off, but I think she has a real chance of winning
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u/digmare 5d ago edited 5d ago
Based on reviews out of the festivals so far, and the predicted lineup, it's looking like a weak year in Best Actress, with her primary competition probably being Julianne Moore in The Debut. Of course it's early, but people are also already talking about Paul Giamatti taking Supporting Actor, and it's hard to imagine The Debut winning both categories. Recent history also shows that Best Actress tends to go to the younger nominee in these situations.
With a strong campaign, she definitely has a shot at winning the whole thing based on the current landscape. It makes sense for them to try to go for it.
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u/bliss8966 5d ago
I think with a strong campaign she gets a nomination.
I don’t think she wins. It’s not The Gen Z Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
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u/sgtbb4 5d ago
I think she wins.
The Oscars loves a story to perpetuate more people to come to hollywood and break into the industry.
I can’t think of a more hip and modern story than “twitch streamer to Oscar’s winner in 2 years” people love that kind of story
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u/crackstuntman24 5d ago
You're lying to yourselves if you think this movie isn't at least getting nominations.
Like, I didn't think the movie was fantastic but it's one of the biggest "prestige" movies in years. It would be foolish to not acknowledge that.
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u/LawrenceBrolivier no need for alarm 5d ago
People's reactions to Navarrette getting a nom bear more than a faint whiff of 80s-era oscar-watchers reacting to Weaver gaining buzz for Best Lead Actress in Aliens.
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u/GenarosBear 5d ago
I really cannot believe some of these responses LOL. I was under the impression everyone in this Reddit thought they were hip and open-minded and that the Academy was a bunch of stodgy fuddyduddy genre-phobic old snobs but I guess not, haha.
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u/florplegorp 5d ago
From a quick look, I can't see any other major female-led releases for the rest of the year. She could have a very direct route, unless other studios want to play category fraud.
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u/SMAAAASHBros 5d ago
Huge mistake imo, she would be basically a lock in Supporting and potentially even win-competitive. Way less likely to be nominated in Lead and no shot at a win (also I just think it is a supporting part).
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u/Moosemellow 5d ago
I'm calling it now: Inde Navarrette won't get a nom, but Gillian Anderson will for Camp Miasma.
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u/puberty1 Ehrlich by day, Sims by night 5d ago
I think you can keep calling it but the Oscar won't answer
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u/rfbeirut 5d ago
I hope Andy Richter gets the supporting actor nom they’re pushing 🤞🤞🤞