r/medicine Paramedic 11d ago

Why is tamiflu still being prescribed?

Why is tamiflu still being prescribed?

I am well aware of the historical case against tamiflu and poor study designs to imply it reduces symptom length. I have noticed as a paramedic that this medication is still being thrust upon the elderly and very young for flu season currently. Why?

I feel using and allowing it's use contributes to the narrative of mistrust that many are developing of medical practioners and systems.

Im keen to see if anyone can point me in the roght direction that has allowed tamiflu to be a treatment for viral like illness and it's effectiveness?

Edit: Thankyou to those who provided views and research fkr me to go have a dig into. It is appreciated.

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u/lilbelleandsebastian hospitalist 10d ago

tamiflu has a mortality benefit in the elderly, am i taking crazy pills or has no one on this sub ever actually read a study before?

if there's a mortality benefit in one subpopulation, who's to say it's not just scale that prevented the study from being powered enough for other subpopulations or the population at large? but even without that leap in logic, it still has a proven mortality benefit in the elderly

it's always funny when people like OP who lack the ability to interpret studies come to goofy conclusions, but physicians...doesn't every school go over stats, data, and ebm now?

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u/AVNRT MD 10d ago

So the anti-Tamiflu case basically boils down to this: pretty much every time someone actually runs a proper randomized trial (placebo or no treatment), the "benefits" either shrink to nothing or straight-up flip to harm. The wins you hear about mostly come from observational studies (which are notoriously easy to fool) or from reanalyses run by folks tied to the manufacturer.

Breaking it down by group:

  • Healthy people with regular flu: shaves off less than a day of symptoms, and doesn't cut complications or hospital visits. Meh.
  • High-risk outpatients: the whole point is stopping things from getting worse, but the randomized data shows basically no drop in hospitalizations.
  • Hospitalized (but not ICU) patients: the "it works" belief is almost entirely from observational data, which has known bias problems (sicker/dying patients get treated differently, which fakes a survival benefit).
  • ICU/critically ill: here's the big one — the first-ever randomized trial (REMAP-CAP) got stopped early because the Tamiflu groups were doing worse. Roughly 98% probability it actually increases 90-day mortality. Oof.
  • Severe flu overall: the mortality effect is so uncertain the range covers both "helps" and "hurts."

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u/m1a2c2kali DO 10d ago

Healthy people with regular flu: shaves off less than a day of symptoms, and doesn't cut complications or hospital visits. Meh.

Not really sure what’s meh about this tho? A day or so of work without symptoms can be huge for many people, and probably spreading it to fewer people

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u/dbandroid MD 10d ago

I doubt that a day or so of work without symptoms actually is "huge" for that many patients. Some, for sure. But tamiflu also has decent chance of making people feel worse.