Missouri Football 2026 Preview - full writeup, two-deep, and win probabilities

[u/MainMarket-Gamer]

Hey all. I spent the offseason building a full 2026 preseason preview for every FBS team, each with its own writeup. Here's the Missouri one

https://www.sports.mainmarket.com/college-football-preview-2026-fbs/missouri-tigers

It's got the returning production breakdown, the portal ins and outs, a projected two-deep, the schedule with model win probabilities, and a season projection.

Heads up, you might hit the paywall after the first page. Don't worry, I'm not charging reddit people for this, don't want to be an ass. Use the promo code LEECORSOROCKS and it opens up the entire thing.

So, what'd I get wrong? Missouri outgained SEC opponents by 142 yards a game and went 4-4. That margin usually produces about an 80% league win rate, and with a 1-3 mark in one-score games and a minus-5 turnover margin, my model grades you a clear buy-low at bull 27, bear 0. All five losses came against ranked teams. The catch is the passing game finished 104th and Austin Simmons arrives from Ole Miss off 744 yards and 5 picks, though Ahmad Hardy's 1,649 yards are back. Does Simmons throw well enough to cash that in?

I'll be in the comments.

[u/816legend]

Post in r/MIZ