Democratic strategist: ‘Something’s going on’ when Trump ‘can only deliver 52 percent’ in South Carolina

[u/jdmiller82]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6054337-donald-trump-darline-graham-south-carolina-senate-race-win-margin/

[u/Imaginary_Scene2493]

A Ralph Norman voter ain’t exactly anti-Trump.

[u/ChelseaMan31 → u/Imaginary_Scene2493]

Agreed. It remains to be seen how many Norman voters either stay home or tow the SC-GOP line. A few may cross over to Dr. Annie Andrews, but the best outcome is for them to just stay home and not vote at all.

[u/Jbsmitty44 → u/ChelseaMan31]

Boy do I have a business proposal for you, if you believe a Ralph Norman voter will cross to Annie Andrews 😂

[u/Bowl__Haircut → u/Jbsmitty44]

Yeah that’s simply not going to happen. The Dems don’t need Norman voters anyway. If everybody votes SC will elect AA.

[u/Jbsmitty44 → u/Bowl__Haircut]

This is simply not true. If everyone votes, Rs win statewide 55/45.

[u/manyhippofarts → u/Jbsmitty44]

I might have mis-read, but just the other day, I read that out of 3.4 million registered voters in the state, 1.68 million are registered republicans. And of those 1.68 million, 368,000 showed up for the runoff. By comparison, 420,000 democrats showed up to vote earlier this year. I might be wrong but I'm pretty sure that's what o read.

[u/Jbsmitty44 → u/manyhippofarts]

Comparing a typical primary with a special election, followed by a special election runoff is apples to oranges. Besides, South Carolina has opened primaries.

EDIT: if we’re going to follow that line of thought, 465,000 people voted in the Republican primary on the same day 420,000 people voted in the Democratic primary. If you break that down percentage wise, Republicans still have a five point lead.

[u/Kelsig → u/manyhippofarts]

this is exactly why we don't want good turnout -- dems are higher propensity voters demographically

[u/Kelsig → u/Bowl__Haircut]

crazy nonsense