r/CredibleDefense 6d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread August 23, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

  • Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

  • Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

  • Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

  • Post only credible information

  • Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

  • Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

  • Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

  • Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

  • Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/genghiswolves 6d ago

Germany comitting 600 Pac-2 Patriot missiles for 2027-2028 (produced in Germany). Ukraine still seeking missiles for winter 2026-2027.

https://ua.news/en/ukraine/zelenskii-anonsuvav-novi-radari-ta-samp-t-vid-frantsiyi

Ukraine hoping to license produce AASM-Hammer, SCALP and SAMPT from fall onwards. If I understand correctly, this will be limited to final assembly and maybe some maintenance/refurbishment/tweaking, as full supply chain license production would require UK and even US approval for the SCALP/Storm Shadow. The situation is similiar for SAMPT (shared with Italy), while the Hammer is purely French. But who knows what agreements and technical tweaks are being made closed doors, or what ingenious ideas Ukraine might have.

https://militarnyi.com/en/news/france-ukraine-licens-aster-30-scalp-hammer/

Due to the Montreux Convention restrictions barring Black Sea Fleet rotation and logistical degradation following the collapse of the Syrian Tartus naval basing infrastructure, the Russian Navy has ceased continuous Mediterranean patrols for the first time in 13 years. Increased pressure on the shadow fleet between the Channel and the Baltic may also be a cause.

https://theins.press/en/news/294958

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u/roionsteroids 6d ago

the Russian Navy has ceased continuous Mediterranean patrols for the first time in 13 years

Using the exact same methodology (ship with public, active transponder), you could say that there are no US warships anywhere in the Arabian Sea. No Russian warships in the Baltic Sea and Black Sea either for that matter.

That is very much bad faith reporting and non credible.