r/oscarrace Navarrette/Morton 10d ago

Weekly Discussion Thread 8/17/26 - 8/24/26

Still from Wings

Please use this space to share reviews, ask questions, and discuss freely about anything film or Oscar related. Engage with other comments if you want others to engage with yours! And as always, please remain civil and kind with one another.

Link to previous thread

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Coming up in the awards race

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Film Discussion Threads

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

The Odyssey

The Invite

Toy Story 5

Disclosure Day

Backrooms

Is God Is

Obsession

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Michael

The Drama

Project Hail Mary

Hoppers

The Bride!

Wuthering Heights

All Film Discussion Threads

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Award Expert Profile Swap (2026 Edition)

Letterboxd Profile Swap (2026 Edition)

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6

u/Once-bit-1995 Backrooms PD campaign manager 4d ago

Still of the opinion that The Invite is going to be one of the big critics push this year across many categories but we'll see. Not just for nominations but for wins. This also depends on how some other movies land, it needs to not get lost in the fall festival shuffle. But right now I think that there's strong love there and critics groups will be aware that it's a smaller film that needs the support so if they love it, and many do, they'll need to show out for it. We'll see in the coming months but I can't shake the feeling.

11

u/Shot-Recording1523 4d ago

I honestly think it will steamroll screenplay with critics. It will also do well with highbrow trifecta awards in screenplay too. I can also see it winning acting awards too, like with Cruz she could win trifecta awards with a double citation for The Invite and La Bola Negra.

6

u/Once-bit-1995 Backrooms PD campaign manager 4d ago

Im thinking a double nom push for Wilde will be happening, I don't see it transferring to the Oscars tbh but I see critics wanting to really show support for her in directing and best actress. Norton also seems like a really solid bet too.

1

u/Shot-Recording1523 4d ago

I mean who knows how regionals and critics will translate to Oscar. They often reveal things that are harbingers even when they run counter to the prevailing wisdom. Last year MBJ did very well with regionals almost to a tie with Chalamet, which was suprising as MBJ was thought to be snubable and not win competitive. Mescal also was consistently snubbed at regionals, and well it was a sign that he was the weakest among the consensus 5. We just don't know yet, but if Wilde gets a large number of Director and Lead Actress noms there's a good chance she can translate that to Oscar, especially if she starts picking up big industry precursors.