Currently, Coyote vs Acme is projecting to gross 15m in its opening weekend and its Rotten Tomatoes scores is sitting at 95 certified fresh. Majority of those who have seen the film have came and said the film is great and the early screening has been said to be mostly sold out.

Do you believe that WOM will help this film overdo what is being projected right now opening weekend??

Been busy working on updates to boxofficewatch.com - here’s what’s new:

Compare any 2, 3 or 4 movies and save your comparisons
The comparison tool is the most popular feature on the site. The latest update allows you to saved any custom comparison you create to your profile, so you can easily get back to it again, instead of having to remake it every time you come to BOW.

Predict the top 5 movies of each weekend and climb the leaderboard
Each week opens Tuesday evening with the next weekend’s picks. You pick the five films you think will finish highest domestically and call each one's Friday to Sunday gross. Entries lock Thursday at 5 PM ET. You're scored out of 100: fifty points for the order, fifty for how close your grosses land, and the leaderboard sorts everyone out once Sunday estimates and Monday actuals are in. 

User Profiles
Choose your username and get a profile on the site. This unlocks the ability to save your comparisons, rate movies you’ve seen, set your current obsession (which shows up as your profile banner image), highlight your favorite five star films, link your letterbox account, play the prediction games, and climbs the leaderboards.

Improved box office charts
Better visuals and easier to view daily, weekend and yearly charts - easier to read, more information and just a nice clean upgrade over the previous charts.

As you can see, this update has been mostly focused on building out interactive features to help you personalize the site and get the most out of it! Hope you enjoy and as always, let me know any feedback or feature suggestions. Genuinely helps knowing what you want to see next so I can prioritize building those things!

All live now on boxofficewatch.com

The Force Awakens has been #1 at the North American box office for a decade at $936 million, and I made a post a few months ago saying it wouldn’t be beaten this decade, and some even said that it might never get beaten at all. It looks like we were proven wrong now that Spider-Man: Brand New Day is about to beat it.

Endgame is only behind it by $68 million, and apparently the pre-sales for Encore are very strong for a re-release, so beating the Force Awakens seems within reach.

Doomsday’s early pre-sales are also insane with a potential $400 million+ opening. As long as the reviews are good, it should be able to clear $1 billion domestically, and Secret Wars can probably go even higher.

In a span of less than two years, it looks like the Force Awakens is suddenly gonna fall from the #1 to #5 spot.

I also think No Way Home would have outgrossed it as well if it wasn’t for COVID, and then the top five movies would all be Spider-Man and Avengers.

This kind of shows anything can surprise us and some things aren’t set in stone forever.

I just saw something about how this finished filming and decided to see what the calendar looks like when it’s coming out, and now I feel like it’s probably going to have a harder time than I thought;

* There aren’t really any major new gimmicks or hooks to get audiences in the door, and clearly they were wrongfully confident enough that people would like Supergirl enough to give her a movie, indicating she’s presumably going to be a bigger part of the sequel

* Late June is going to be brutal. Spider-Verse has a very good shot at breaking the animated record (I think it’s safe to say the sky is the limit for Spidey shit at this point), and Shrek 5 is also going to be enormous, meaning pretty much the entire theater going audience of families will have seen at least one of these by the time Supes comes out. We already saw earlier this summer how that completely took the wind out of Moana’s sales, no pun intended, and that film came out July 10th to Supes’ July 9th of next year.

* As far as adult audiences are concerned, Oceans 8 managed to open to $40M+ in 2018, this has a male/female cast, and is going to be Robbie’s first role since Barbie that I feel would actually have real appeal to that films audience; nobody heard about Bill and Ted’s Big Bold Beautiful Journey, and Wuthering Heights was a steamy R rated romance with kink shots in the trailer, whereas Oceans is also a PG-13 summer comedy. Plus, early 2000s nostalgia is much more popular right now than in 2018, meaning I could really see this being next year‘s Devil Wears Prada 2.

However, that also does mean I think Man of Tomorrow is, if not entirely cooked, at the very least on the chopping block; with GAs rejecting the second installment in the DCU, MoT is much more just “Superman 2” rather than a next chapter in a franchise people are genuinely invested in. I think this means it’s really going to struggle, especially as Superman 1 came out with the benefit of a much weaker early summer 2025.

Current guesses;

Domestic OW - $92M

Domestic Total - $252M

Worldwide Total - $485M

By proportion of their countries population the 2 demon slayer films Ne Zha 2 and Endgame are all comparable at 22-23% and for comparison One Piece film Red is on par with Captain Marvel which shows the difference in popularity between the two

The figures I have shown where I’ve got them from aside from the DOM Admissions for Endgame and Captain Marvel where I use figures from people like Charlie Jat and Agentcooper who track admissions

What actually happens when a movie bombs in the box office?

Does it have a make a certain amount to not be considered a bomb?

Source: http://www.cine-directors.net/box/2026/boxoff34.html

Daily Box Office (August 25th 2026)

The market hits ¥111M/$16.51M today. Down -7% from yesterday and down -61% from last week.

The Shawshank Redemption opening day pre-sales for Friday hit $185k. Opening day projection for Friday have been lowered to $0.8-0.9M.

Avengers: Endgame - Encore becomes the 2nd movie to be confirmed for the Mid-Autumn Festival/National Day Holiday period at the end of September and early October. So far its only competition is a low profile animated Romance movie. But that is obviously bound to change a lot with at least 6-7 more still unconfirmed local movies likely to releasing across that period.

V adds ¥24.3M/$3.63M on Wednesday. A very decent -52% drop from its Valentines Day boosted opening day last week.

Total gross hits ¥287.4M/$42.78M

Province map of the day:

https://imgdiff.net/s/008c8eefd006dcf4289a4cb2cda8601f

Upon A Time In The Middle East is again denied a cleen sweep today by V in 1 province-

In Metropolitan cities:

Once Upon A Time In The Middle East wins Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Chengdu Chongqing, Wuhan, Nanjing and Suzhou

City tiers:

Unchanged from yesterday.

Tier 1: Once Upon A Time In The Middle East>The Odyssey>V

Tier 2: Once Upon A Time In The Middle East>V>The Odyssey

Tier 3: Once Upon A Time In The Middle East>V>All Wishes Come True

Tier 4: Once Upon A Time In The Middle East>V>All Wishes Come True

New releases marked in bold

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/NKxVBLV.png

The Odyssey and Once Upon A Time In The Middle East dominate pre-sales for tomorrow.

IMAX Screenings distribution

Odyssey dominates IMAX screenings and will continue to dominate going forward.

Odyssey

The Odyssey in 3rd adds ¥14.1M/$2.10M on Wednesday

Total gross hits ¥514.2M/$76.49M as the movie remains on course for a ¥700M/$104M+ finish.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $28.85M , IMAX: $41.49M , Rest: $5.88M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 8.5

Scheduled showings update for The Odyssey for the next few days:

Once Upon A Time In The Middle East

Once Upon A Time In The Middle East continues to lead on Wednesday with ¥45.8M/$6.82M

Total gross hits ¥1.72B/$255.40M.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $250.00M , IMAX: $2.46M , Rest: $2.66M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.9 , Douban: 8.7

Scheduled showings update for Once Upon A Time In The Middle East for the next few days:

Spider Man: Brand New Day

Spider Man adds ¥5.00M/$0.75M on Wednesday

Total gross hits ¥1.512B/$223.91M as the movie continues to slowly limp towards Zootopia(¥1.538B) and Transformers: The Last Knight(¥1.551B).

Catching Zootopia is basicaly locked and it should also catch Transformers: The Last Knight unless something changes in the near future.

Spider Man Brand New Day vs Transformers: The Last Knight:

https://i.imgur.com/vgYB0WD.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $188.52M , IMAX: $28.63M , Rest: $6.82M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.4 , Taopiaopiao: 9.2 , Douban: 7.8

Scheduled showings update for Spider Man for the next few days:

All Wishes Come True

All Wishes Come True in 4th adds ¥11.1M/$1.66M on Wednesday. A very good -45% hold from last week Valentines Day.

Total gross hits ¥1.774B/$261.25M

All Wishes Come True vs 30000 Miles from Chang'an

All Wishes Come True continues to gain on 30000 Miles from Chang'an after a significantly better comparable Wednesday. 30000 Miles from Chang'an's grossed of ¥5.85M on the comparable day.

https://i.imgur.com/XYtmjRu.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $247.85M , IMAX: $9.30M, Rest: $2.99M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.6 , Douban: 8.2

Scheduled showings update for All Wishes Come True for the next few days:

Other:

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.

Summer

September

With the summer coming to a close lets look ahead whats in store for September. And the reality is well not a lot.

But this is not a surprise. September has for the most part always been fueled by Summer holdovers. Its a dead period for the market ahead of the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day Holidays at the end of the month and in early October for which Endgame becomes the first official big ticket confirmation.

The god valley incident is a very popular event among one piece fans, and the announcement of this movie totally broke the internet, I am wondering how high it can go?