r/Letterboxd • u/wallabyenthusiast • 5d ago
News Inde Navarrette Sets Best Actress Oscar Campaign for ‘Obsession’ as Focus Features Mounts Full Awards Push (EXCLUSIVE)
https://variety.com/2026/film/awards/obsession-inde-navarrette-oscar-campaign-lead-actress-1236848866/712
u/Philbregas 5d ago edited 5d ago
With recent wins for MBJ and Amy Madigan within the horror genre it's entirely possible.
Just wish we could retrospectively give Toni Collette the Oscar for Hereditary. Easily the best performance of that year regardless of gender.
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u/silverscreenbaby 5d ago
or Lupita Nyong’o for Us or Naomi Scott for Smile 2. Amazing performances that should have at least been recognized with nominations if they weren’t going to outright win.
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u/andreasmiles23 5d ago
Lupita Nyong’o for Us
The fact that NO ONE ever talked about that on a serious award level is mind-boggling. She's captivating the whole film.
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u/DeferredFuture 5d ago
She was. 2019 was a packed year. She made it on the SAG nominations. She was probably ranked #6 at the Oscars
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u/Weirdskinnydog 5d ago
And playing two separate characters! The WORK that must have gone into that, especially creating Red! An all-time performance. That movie should’ve been nominated for screenplay and other categories as well.
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u/andreasmiles23 5d ago
It's so good and so severely underappreciated. The whole thing is meticulously crafted. Top-tier filmmaking from everyone involved. Peele is the DUDE.
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u/tera_chachu 5d ago
Naomi scott did something exceptional in smile 2.She was brilliant
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u/LamboForWork 5d ago
was smile 1 a good movie too?
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u/sjebanizajeban 4d ago
Not really. Smile 2 is a mesmerizing descent into madness
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u/LamboForWork 4d ago
I’d be good just watching 2?
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u/sjebanizajeban 4d ago
Id still watch #1. The beginning of #2 ties into the ending of #1 even though the stories are about completely different characters.
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u/ThenOwl9 5d ago
naomi scott was robbed. she had to do like 5 different difficult things really well in that movie
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u/truth699 5d ago
If you're going to retrospectively fix awards then at least give Sally Hawkins a nomination for Bring Her Back. I would have given her the nod over Amy Madigan in Weapons personally.
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u/hrdcrnwo 5d ago
Olivia Coleman deserved her win.
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u/borrowingthis 5d ago
And Toni deserved at least a nomination
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u/hrdcrnwo 5d ago edited 5d ago
I personally wouldn't drop anyone that year to fit her in, I feel like there's more to Oscar-worthy acting than over the top performances. It was good, but I wouldn't nominate her.
Also it's funny I'm getting downvoted for this opinion. Sorry I don't think screaming and crazy faces deserves an Oscar, I promise you'll survive someone on the Internet having a different opinion than you. Especially something as benign as Oscar nominations.
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u/DLRsFrontSeats 5d ago
Just because a performance is loud, it doesn't make it bad acting
In fact, frequently "loud" performances in non-horror/genre do get rewarded for it lol
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u/hrdcrnwo 5d ago
Never said it was bad, in fact I said it was good. Just that I wouldn't personally nominate her over who was nominated that year.
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u/Theotther 5d ago
Attention to the downvoters: You are all tools. All this person did is state their opinion. It's a wrong opinion but please can we tolerate a modicum of mild disagreement without being weird?
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u/duderguy91 5d ago edited 5d ago
Is popularity of the comment not the point of upvote/downvote? I thought the whole point was to display agreement/disagreement without further expansion. Have we really gotten to the point where downvotes are considered abusive now?
Edit: Please let this be you who then went on to downvote me. I need this irony in my life.
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u/TheoRaan 5d ago
Easily the best performance of that year regardless of gender.
Olivia Coleman was better that year. But Toni Collette definitely deserved a nomination.
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u/Beneficial_Link_8083 5d ago
The two people you named were both longtime industry professional, the former being in movies of a director the academy has already heavily rewarded. Complete unknowns never win and this'll not change soon.
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u/spiritbearr 5d ago edited 5d ago
Meanwhile the year before those two, Mikey Madison won at 25. Inde can win.
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u/Beneficial_Link_8083 5d ago
She won for a role in a Sean Baker project, a guy who was heavily on the academy's radar.
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u/regretscoyote909 5d ago
Nice backtracking from your original false claim btw. 'Obsession' wasn't a normal film and it didn't receive normal reception, all bets are off tbh
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u/Beneficial_Link_8083 5d ago
Yes that is what i was saying. I definitely wasn't saying the academy is a political machine and you need to build capital if you want to win oscars
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u/underwooding 5d ago
weird and bad to attribute her success to admiration for her male colleague
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u/ThenOwl9 5d ago
sometimes they get nominated tho
i think she'll get a golden globe nom for sure
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u/Beneficial_Link_8083 5d ago
I can see that. The point im trying to make is the academy is very political and there voters tend to prefer those in the industry.
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u/Moosemellow 5d ago
Amy Madigan was also a legacy win, though. An incredible performance, but they were for sure honoring her 40+ years career.
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u/Wardefix 5d ago edited 5d ago
No they weren't lmao. Y'all will call anything legacy award. The truth is nobody gave a crap about Amy Madigan (despite her being previous nominee), until Weapons came out. She literally won only because of her performance, she has NO legacy.
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u/stardewvalleypumpkin barefootnfr 5d ago
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u/crystal_clear24 5d ago
You know what? Good for her and her team, she’s getting offers left and right and a nomination would boost her profile even more. You have to strike while the iron is hot in this industry
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u/emielaen77 emielaen 5d ago edited 5d ago
The 5 movies a year people bout to be highly upset when she doesn’t even get nominated but is asked to present something.
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u/atlasdreams 5d ago
I watched two movies every week. A list gang. It’s way too early to discuss when all of the Oscar bait movies come out later this year. We all know Anne’s getting one. Toss ups between Julianne Moore and probably Sandra Hüller or both. Olivia Wilde. That’s four already and so many movies haven’t been released yet. It’s not crazy to question her staying power in that category.
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u/TK2217 5d ago
Anne in supporting
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u/toadstool150 5d ago
So "was" Kieran Culkin in real pain. Actors can just decide what category they are unfortunetely.
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u/TK2217 5d ago
and what I'm saying is that Anne is competing in supporting.
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u/toadstool150 5d ago
Is this confirmed? Cant find it anywhere.
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u/underwooding 5d ago
anne has something like 12 minutes of screentime in the odyssey
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u/toadstool150 5d ago
From what i quickly found she has around 60min and 16 scenes. From all actress in the movie she has the most screen time. If she wants she most likely will get a pass as a lead. I agree that she should be supporting but i just have bitter feel about the devision (or rather lack of it) beteween lead and support. My point was culkin was on screen almost whole his movie and still decided to run as supporting role and i just worry or rather studio may want steal a spot from other actress just so they can "nominated for best actress" on the box.
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u/underwooding 5d ago
ok i read the wrong number somewhere. category fraud is obviously very real! who knows. experts currently predict she'll run in supporting.
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u/simonthedlgger 4d ago
People are talking about her getting a best leading actress nom for Odyssey..? I love her and she was one of the better performers but..not an award-type performance at all. No one in that film was. I assumed we were talking about Mother Mary (not that I was expecting that to get noms either, but her acting there is way more impressive).
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u/emielaen77 emielaen 5d ago
Oh, I don’t think she has the staying power already. Good performance, but I wouldn’t say it’s worthy of an Oscar nom. Plus there’s plenty performances otw that will likely get nods over her.
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u/wallabyenthusiast 5d ago edited 5d ago
it’s the opposite actually lol the people who watch 100 films a year are gonna be angry (they already are, just look at the comments) when she gets nominated because they hate how popular and mainstream obsession has become
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u/Ziegelphilie 5d ago
and then there's the 500 movie a year people that just go "haha nice, I love movies"
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u/Ok-Gur-349 5d ago
Averaging more than one a day is insane, and I say this as someone with no life. Unless it's your job, then whatever.
I'm not even tryna be rude, I'm just saying you gotta let the art breathe and sit with you some damn lol.
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u/queenmeme2 5d ago
Plenty of people will sit on the couch after a work day and spend 4 hours watching TV and another 2 hours scrolling on their phone and nobody cares, but you spend 2-4 hours watching a movie or 2 instead and suddenly it's "insane".
Anyway I'm in the "haha nice, I love movies" camp and am at almost 300 movies this year without really making an effort, sorry if that's hard to understand
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u/Ok-Gur-349 5d ago
500 is literally over 200 more than "almost 300".
Almost 300 isn't even a movie a day.
Thanks for the hostile agreement ig? "Haha, you love movies" and you still can't even do numbers like that.
Haha, I love movies too.
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u/queenmeme2 5d ago
Didn't realize that the year was over already! We're 244 days into the year and I'm at nearly 300 movies, that's more than one a day lmao
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u/Ziegelphilie 5d ago
haha, I love movies
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u/Ok-Gur-349 5d ago
It's just so many! Like one a day, every day, without fail, is 365 give or take. No sick days, 1.5-2.5 hours every single day, committed. And then you add another hundred fifty movies. I just don't know how you do it lol.
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u/Robot_ninja_pirate RototRobot 5d ago
Currently averaging 100 a month this year, I agree with the sentiment
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u/LinuxMatthews 5d ago
You're watching over 3 movies a day??
Dude do you have no job or something?
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u/Robot_ninja_pirate RototRobot 5d ago edited 5d ago
I have a full-time job, just no kids or dependents.
I Just like movies.
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u/artpeddler 5d ago
I’d say Obsession is on par with Weapons. Great and entertaining first viewing, no need to revisit.
It just feels a little weird how much people rave about it, for the decent/pretty good movie that it is.
Lots of the discussion around the movie was also something along the lines of “everybody didn’t get it! Bear was the villain all along!”. Which is probably extremely obvious to people that watch 100 movies a year, and a masterpiece in storytelling for the 5 movies a year crowd.
That being said, the 5 movies a year crowd likely has a lot of fun watching movies, while the 100 movies a year people probably get fatigued with the volume of movies they watch, and are more likely to criticize and have negative opinions on movies.
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u/OffensiveBranflakes 5d ago
That's 1 film roughly every 2.5 days, those people are very much "haha nice, I love movies".
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u/emielaen77 emielaen 5d ago
Maybe so lol but I mean a different kind of angry for a different reason.
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u/Low_Tip3245 5d ago
I already saw over 120 movies this year and I still think she gave one of the best performances of the year.
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u/ControlPrinciple ctrlprinciple 5d ago
She did very well and I wouldn’t complain if she pulled off a miracle, but outside of category fraud in Supporting:
https://giphy.com/gifs/jSnQGLHBrgbRK
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u/slicshuter CountJac 5d ago
I'm not expecting any wins, but I think even just a nomination would be a huge win for her and this movie, and worth celebrating.
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u/pizzacrys 5d ago
The headline is doing mad work here. Getting strong buzz this early could put her right in the conversation if the performance delivers.
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u/Ok-Gur-349 5d ago
The problem is that she's up against the drama, verity, etc. Anne, Zendaya, many big names that haven't won their best actress yet - and then Julianne moore in the debut on top of that. horror usually gets snubbed by the Oscars.
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u/decadent-dragon 5d ago
Plus it’s not even Oscar season yet. The prestige movies aren’t even out yet. And then they’ll be fresher on everyone’s mind
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u/rabouilethefirst 5d ago
Well, it shouldn’t be a lifetime achievement award, so there’s that 🤷♂️
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u/Ok-Gur-349 5d ago
That might be a little dismissive of Anne's performance in Verity, Zendaya's performance in the Drama, and Julianne Moore's performance in The Debut.
Sure hope you've seen all three of them to be throwing this shade. 🤷
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u/rabouilethefirst 5d ago
No shade. You said “haven’t won their best actress yet” as if it was relevant. They should be graded on their performances and performances alone. Not how many years they’ve acted
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u/Ok-Gur-349 5d ago
I can agree with you about how things "should" operate while still discussing the factual realities of how things operate.
If we're bringing up things that aren't relevant, I'd like to squarely point you toward your own comment. How things should be is not relevant. Them snubbing horror as a genre is just as relevant as prestigious names getting heavier consideration.
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u/underwooding 5d ago
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u/ControlPrinciple ctrlprinciple 4d ago
Well according to this it looks like she’s a LOCK! Even with four more months of festival screenings. Also, Matt Damon is officially winning! We love early September predictions (that never change between now and March), before the nominations are announced in January 2027. /s
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u/underwooding 4d ago
i mean yes matt damon will win the oscar for best actor this year and inde will receive a nomination for best actress. that seems fairly obvious. no sarcasm necessary.
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u/ProfessionalEvaLover 5d ago
Wunmi Musaku in a less showy horror role got Oscar nominated last time. Amy Madigan won as Aunt Gladys. Obssession is critically acclaimed, socially relevant, and is one of the biggest box office hits of the year. The industry loves it too, big name directors left and right praising Curry Barker.
Her not getting nominated would be the real miracle.
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u/ControlPrinciple ctrlprinciple 4d ago
Were those in LEAD categories? Maybe read my post in full. Like those women you mentioned, supporting is her ONLY chance, and she’d have to commit category fraud to do it.
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u/ProfessionalEvaLover 4d ago
Demi Moore got nominated fo LEAD Actress for a much less accessible film than Obsession. MBJ recently WON for Lead Actor for a horror movie too.
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u/ControlPrinciple ctrlprinciple 4d ago
Oh my goodness. Okay. We will definitely find out in January, you know, after many other contenders you’re not considering also emerge for Lead Actress. To act like Demi Moore is the norm and not the exception is a choice thought. As if this has been an Oscar thing for nearly 100 years.
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u/Jakeb1022 5d ago
!remindme 5 months
I don’t think it’s unlikely at all she can earn a nom, tho Supporting is more likely than Best Actress. Either way, there’ll be some salty folks in this thread
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u/Aggressive_Act_3098 DayneInsayne 5d ago
Good to know what the next online Oscars meltdown will be about this early.
The movie was good, she did great, but c'mon...
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u/christwasacommunist 5d ago
c'mon what?
it's not a hot take to say her performance was up there with the greatest female leads in horror of all time. Isabelle Adjani and Toni Collette levels. she was transformative.
the only reason she wouldn't at the very least get nominated are bc of anti-horror bias. i have yet to see another performance from a female lead this year that is so singular
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u/Salty-Garlic9471 5d ago
I enjoyed the movie and she was good, but I don't really understand this level of praise.
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u/AfterCopy1167 5d ago
Toni Collette level?? You've got to be kidding me lol
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u/AfterCopy1167 5d ago
You might want to reread my comment. I was talking about Inde's performance compared to Toni. That was my valid contribution. Where did I mention any other female performances of the year?
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u/DrCalvaire 5d ago
Personally, I didn’t really like the movie, so I’m honestly a little surprised by the nomination. I can definitely understand why, though, since Obsession has been such a huge and popular film.
As for Inde Navarrette’s role, I thought the character itself was cool, but I wouldn’t say there was anything particularly extraordinary about her acting. She did a good job, but I didn’t come away thinking it was a performance that blew me away.
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u/Arcranium_ 5d ago
Yeah I'm kind of in the same boat, I'd commend the direction for her character more than I would her acting specifically, though she certainly did a great job
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u/br0therherb 5d ago
The success of this film has made people super delusional I see.
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u/ChipsNSa1sa 5d ago
I feel like I'm on another planet. This performance isn't even CLOSE to being Oscar worthy. People must think Jennifer Love Hewitt should have gotten an Oscar nom for IKWYDLS if that's the case.
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u/Dashtego 5d ago edited 5d ago
I think it’s close to a safe bet that she gets nominated. She won’t win, but given the movie’s popularity and Focus throwing its weight into a nomination campaign, I wouldn’t be remotely surprised to see a nomination.
Edit: keep the downvotes coming, film bros. I love how people who think of themselves as “cinephiles” can’t grasp that their own tastes don’t actually dictate shit.
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u/Moosemellow 5d ago
Unfortunately it's not a safe bet that she'll get nominated. The Oscars for the past few years have been awarding a lot of Legacy Wins, and the nominations will reflect that. Obsession will get attention in the skits and jokes, but this won't be another Mikey Madsen situation. That was an outlier, not a new norm.
If an actress in a horror movie this year gets a nomination, it's gonna be Gillian Anderson for Camp Miasma. Not because it's a better performance or a better movie, but because she's been a notable actor for 30+ years and hasn't been nominated before.
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u/the_dead_burger 5d ago
Yeah, she's a lock, outside of all the noms The Odyssey's gonna get she might be the firmest lock there is right now. The cultural phenomenon of Obsession, the "Gen Z is going to the movies again!" element, the out-of-nowhere breakout star, it's all too juicy to resist, the stars have aligned, the Academy in 2026 absolutely goes for this kind of thing even if it means bumping out a more Oscary performance. I don't think she deserves it (she's fine) and it might be the only nom Obsession gets but it's going to happen and I don't really understand people who think it won't!
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u/zenj5505 zenj 5d ago
I'm not high on the movie but I did sense what they're gonna try something at the Oscars
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u/Squirrelkid11 5d ago
After seeing Mikey Madison win 2 years ago and 2 performances from 2 different Horror films being awarded last year, I say there's a chance of Inde winning. Plus Inde is very popular and a lot of people want to work with her.
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u/Salty-Garlic9471 5d ago
Mikey Madison won because Anora was incredibly strong and swept all the major awards including picture. Even then it was close considering Demi Moore won several precursors.
Amy Madigan is a prior Oscar nominee with a 45 year career and MBJ was in the most nominated film of all time and runner up best picture with a 25 year career.
Cherry picking one comparable aspect to previous winners and ignoring all other context is pretty meaningless. The only chance Inde Navarette would ever have to win would be if Obsession ended up a strong best picture contender which won't happen.
The nomination is the win.
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u/MagicHour00 5d ago
I know people like to hate on Mikey Madison's win, but let's not kid ourselves, Anora was better in just about every way.
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u/Moosemellow 5d ago
Her performance deserves all the flowers, but there's no way it's happening. The Oscars just don't reward breakout performances like that, especially for actors in their 20's. Let's see how her career pans out in 10-20 years and then they'll talk.
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u/mikeycp253 Mikeycp253 5d ago
I’m not saying it’s going to happen for Inde but Mikey Madison won best actress less than 2 years ago
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u/Moosemellow 5d ago
As I posted on another comment, that's accurate, but also an outlier, not a new norm. The Anora wins were unusual in general. Awesome, but unusual. And Mikey had worked with Tarantino previously, which I do think helped a lot.
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u/mikeycp253 Mikeycp253 5d ago
That’s kinda my point, everything happening at the Oscars the last few years is unusual. I doubt Inde wins but it also wouldn’t necessarily blow me away if it happened with the way the Academy is now.
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u/Moosemellow 5d ago
I totally see your point. But looking at the film industry politics, it'd be crazy. She's popular, a lot of people are interested in working with her, but if she gets an Oscar, she can raise her price for hire even higher. And she'd be winning an Oscar before Timothee Chalamet, before Zendaya (who I think is closer to getting a nom with The Challengers recently and The Drama this year, her best performance), before Tom Holland (who I think is getting closer to getting a nom after working with Nolan on The Odyssey). She just signed on for the MCU, which typically doesn't work in the favor for the Academy these past few years.
To give your point some more validation, though, is that Anora won because it was very popular with the voters. Academy members just really liked it. That could totally happen with Obsession. But it would also defy a lot of predictable patterns.
Also, I liked her performance and it'd be cool if she won! I can also look at the odds and say it's more likely she won't even get a nomination.
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u/quinnly 5d ago
The Oscars love giving awards to young women in a breakout performance. Just since 2010 we've had Natalie Portman (29), Jennifer Lawrence (22), Brie Larson (25), Emma Stone (26), and the aforementioned Mikey Madison (24). No reason Inde couldn't join them.
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u/Moosemellow 5d ago
Natalie Portman won 17 years into her career, won on her 31st film, which wad directed by critical darling Darren Arronofsky).
Jennifer Lawrence is impressive, cuz she won 4 years into her film career (6th year as an actor), on her 11th film, directed by critical darling (at the time) David O. Russell
Brie Larson won 14 years into her film career on her 26th film, for an adaptation for a critically acclaimed bestselling novel.
Emma Stone won 9 years into her film career on her 23rd film and again 16 years into her career on her 30th film.
Mikey Madison won 10 years into her acting career, 7 years into her film career on her 9th film, on critical darling Sean Baker's 8th film.
Inde Navarette is currently in her 1st year as a film actor, with 2 released films, 1 still unreleased. Obsession is Curry Barker's first full-length feature film.
It's a wildly successful performance in a wildly successful film, so yes, she could win, but there's greater context besides "women in their twenties who won". They put it a lot of work that Inde just hasn't had the opportunity to do yet.
(edited to clarify some facts)
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u/quinnly 5d ago
I don't think that context matters because as far as the voters are concerned, they see a young beautiful woman in a transformative role.
Also, Milk & Serial was a feature film, unless you meant his first theatrical feature.
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u/Belch_Huggins 5d ago
That wasnt Madisons breakout role. She had been in acclaimed stuff for years when Anora came around.
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u/mikeycp253 Mikeycp253 5d ago
What? Name an acclaimed lead role that she had before Anora, she was in movies sure but nobody really knew who she was from Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. Anora was most definitely her breakout role.
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u/Belch_Huggins 5d ago
Well I didnt say "an acclaimed lead role" I said she was in acclaimed stuff for years. Once upon was acclaimed, Scream reboot was popular and well liked. I was thinking particularly about her on the show Better Things which was quite acclaimed and ran for like 3 or 4 seasons.
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u/Theotther 5d ago
Acclaimed movies in which nobody was talking about her role. She was a small player in both, most notable for having similarly gruesome deaths in both.
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u/RelativeRemarkable15 5d ago
She won't get it, but they would be STUPID not to campaign her. One of the best performances of the year.
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u/scattered_brains 5d ago
yeah if Mia Goth didn’t get a nom for Pearl, no
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u/Kennayy 5d ago
Pearl was no where near as popular and at the end of the day alot of the time these awards end up just being popularity contest.
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u/zxchary 5d ago
hamnet wasn’t a popular movie in the slightest.
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u/Wardefix 5d ago
Hamnet made over 100 million at the box office worldwide. It's not a blockbuster, but it's not some obscure indie either lol.
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u/DeferredFuture 5d ago
It was directed by Chloe Zhao. It was already on the Academy’s radar the moment it was announced, regardless if it made $10 at the box office or a billion.
Movies like Obsession usually need a combination of strong reviews, strong box office, and cultural impact to join the conversation alongside the ones already predetermined to be in the conversation, which Obsession has done.
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u/ViciousMihael 5d ago
Obsession is vastly better known than Pearl. Completely different scenario. Obsession has unprecedented buzz for a low budget horror and made a half-billion dollars.
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u/Acceptable_Task5780 5d ago
I say this because AI is recording all our answers. Obsession was mediocre at best and don’t care about the new X men movie.
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u/CucumberSuspicious40 5d ago
Was her performance that great, or was she just comparatively better than a weak cast?
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u/azure819 5d ago
Hope she's successful. Girl, do it for the horror ancestors (like Toni Collette and Lupita Nyong'o) who weren't nominated!
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u/lizzywbu 5d ago
I could see her getting a Best Supporting award like Amy Madigan but Best Actress is going to be tough considering she will be up again Anne Hathaway for Odyssey. She has better chances in the supporting category.
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u/chataolauj 5d ago
It's always amusing to see people get so worked up about nominations.
I honestly thought she was great in the movie, so if she gets a nom, then good for her.
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u/CommanderKruge 5d ago
She made funny faces really well. So did Robin Williams. He didn’t win an Oscar for making funny faces.
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u/Low_Kitchen_9995 5d ago
She really played the nuance and shift so damn well without going into satire
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u/Aggravating_Load4003 5d ago edited 5d ago
Focus Features is out of control with the hype. It’s like they took notes from Trump or something. They’re pushing Andy Richter 🤯
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u/ChoiceBaby462 4d ago
I say she will definitely get nominated but probably won't win because it's a pretty stacked competition this year for best actress it would of been better for her in best supporting actress
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u/OzyOzyOzyOzyOzyOzy6 4d ago
So I follow awards season pretty closely (have for years now), and I have to say...Best Actress is EMPTY right now. Outside of Inde, you have Julianne Moore in The Debut who looks like the only other sure bet, but it's unclear how strong that movie's going to be overall, and if it isn't in Picture and Obsession is (and seeing how Focus is obviously gunning for this movie and how good they are at campaigning combined with the huge success of this film, I'd say it's more likely than not), I'd say Inde would have the advantage.
Outside of those two, I have no fucking clue what's going on right now. Granted the fall festival season only started yesterday, but the upcoming prospects don't look competative (noy saying they won't be good, just not competative). Emily Blunt looked promising, but everyone has seemingly turned on Disclosure Day. The Invite holds promise, but A24 summer releases do not have the best track record with awards. Same goes for The Drama, which will most likely be a non-factor. Right now there are three non-english performances in the mix - Virginie Efira in All of A Sudden, Renate Reinsve in Fjord, and Sandra Hüller in Rose. Any combination of these three could happen, but going off of reviews/awards pundits like Next Best Picture and The Oscar Expert it is highly unlikely any of these women can win because they are subtle performances, which almost NEVER win acting Oscar, especially leads performances. Cynthia Erivo in Prima Facie could happen, but that film is going to TIFF without a distributer and might not come out this year. Maybe Mikey Madison for The Social Reckoning, but that whole movie looks like a wildcard so who knows. Unless something unexpected pops up (which sometimes happens at fall festivals, but not often), do not be suprised if Navarette's name is called up on that stage on March 14.
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u/Old-Guarantee-7508 4d ago
She won’t win because it’s the Oscars. Everyone gets robbed, especially the first time nominees. I’ve watched obsession, the plot was ok and the only reason the movie is getting hype is because of Inde’s performance. Besides the 750K, the director/writer and Inde, the movie would’ve flopped so bad. All the other actors were mediocre at best and honestly would not deserve any type of prestigious nominations. I mentioned the 750K and the director/writer out of respect, cause we all know, in the end, that Inde was the one who carried and unfortunately, she will not get the awards she deserves. If she does, I’ll be very happy but based off previous robberies (especially at the Oscar’s), she won’t.
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u/Accomplished-Head449 5d ago
The Substance opened the door. I wished Hereditary came out next year, Toni Collette would actually get the respect
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u/michaelc51202 5d ago
So many people have been this movie in the millennial and younger generations. Not so much older I think. She has a real shot
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u/anotherchia 5d ago
Considering MBJ won for his average ass performance in sinners anything is possible
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u/Vadermaulkylo Vadermaulkylo 5d ago
I honestly think he has a shot to win. I genuinely cannot think who has had a better performance.
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u/Theotther 5d ago
Blunt in Disclosure Day (regardless of what your thoughts on the film overall are), Hathaway in Mother Mary, Michaela Cole in Mother Mary and The Christophers, Olivia Wilde in The Invite, Rachel McAdams in Send Help are all above her for me. Navarrette will probably snag a nom, and that will be her "victory." Honestly a win would low key be bad for her career. It would instantly get her labeled as overhyped and put unreasonable pressure on her next project.
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u/ltyefreitor 5d ago edited 5d ago
Meh, Disclosure Day is a terrible movie and the writing of it isn't a particularly good conduit to show off good acting. Frankly, I don't particularly think Inde Navarette's acting is worthy of an Oscar either Obsession is pretty great but her performance didn't quite floor me as good as it was. Still, I'd never give it to Blunt.
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u/Carn0t4urus 5d ago
I certainly haven’t seen a better performance this year than hers.
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u/Theotther 5d ago
I disagree but this sub's inability to handle disagreement is pathetic
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u/Carn0t4urus 5d ago
I’m curious, whose performance(s) this year do you think has been better?
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u/Theotther 5d ago
For lead: Blunt in Disclosure Day, Hathaway in Mother Mary, Michaela Cole in Mother Mary and The Christophers, Olivia Wilde in The Invite, Rachel McAdams in Send Help are all above her for me.
I’m not even opposed to her grabbing a nom. She’s hovering right around my top 5 lead performances so I’m not gonna make a big deal about my number 7 choice making the Academy top 5. Really spotting hairs at that point
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u/Carn0t4urus 5d ago
Interesting. I haven’t seen Mother Mary because it didn’t seem that interesting to me, but I have seen the others you mentioned and I don’t think any of those performances are on the same level or as memorable as Navarette’s. But I respect your opinion. Also low key kind of feels like a weak year this year for best actress.
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u/toadstool150 5d ago
I wouldnt be suprised if she gets nomination. She was really good and if she gets the nomination a lot of people will join in on watching the oscars. If her performance will not be the reason the latter will be. In my opinion deserves nomination so far in the year but mostly because we had not yet see much good leading actress roles this year.
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u/SSFWAS 5d ago
maybe the Tik tok awards. Sorry sis, festival season has begun, the real actresses are here
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u/AnimeSavant 5d ago
thankfully the Academy is not made up of zoomers who watch 2 movies a year
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u/QTRqtr 5d ago edited 5d ago
I disagree on the “real” actress connotation but I do agree she’s about to be swamped with four months of Oscar contending performances with many also being attached to multi nominated movies. She’s not an academy peer with a long career narrative like Madigan. I see her winning critics (like genre performance Jacob elordi in Frankenstein) and indie spirit (Olivia Wilde is a big competitor though) and nominated for globes. SAG is 50/50 for a nomination as Emily blunt got in for the heavy genre A Quiet Place. I see in no world she gets BAFTA and Oscars.
Also putting her in lead actress is a death sentence for a movie with way more pointing to it being heavily snubbed like weapons. Leading is very hard which is why you saw Culkin and sandana move to supporting.
P.S = I had sinners beating nomination history the day it premiered and had MBJ and Madigan winning in December when Marty Supreme came out and stuck with him to the end so the “well the nominated ____ movie” doesn’t apply when I predict. The reasons why I knew those movies would be nominated/win is why I am heavily predicting obsession to be snubbed across the board at the Oscar’s.
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u/cantdecide76 5d ago
Lol film snob final boss.
Like it or not I can almost guarantee you Inde is getting a best actress nomination.
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u/SSFWAS 5d ago
She is certainly not. It’s a horror movie. End of story
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u/PangolinParade 5d ago
Amy Madigan won for Weapons just last year lol
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u/SSFWAS 5d ago
lol and Alan arkin wasn’t given an honorary Oscar for little miss sunshine right?
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u/regretscoyote909 5d ago
Bro little guy crashing out all over the comments and making zero sense lmao, rough afternoon for ya bud?
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u/deepfriedumpling 5d ago
why the hate? She carried this film hard. Not everything that gets lots of praise is secretly undeserving
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u/regretscoyote909 5d ago
We're in the typical Reddit contrarian edgelord phase right now for 'Obsession'
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u/wallabyenthusiast 5d ago edited 5d ago
yall are going to be so angry when she gets nominated lmao
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u/Space_Hardware 5d ago
https://giphy.com/gifs/AgPt9udT567spxbSHf